
630 
FNUS54 KMRX 211945
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
245 PM EST SUN FEB 21 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY DURING MONDAY. 
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND RAIN WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA AFTER 
MIDNIGHT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
245 PM EST SUN FEB 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+12)  49-54 (-7)   30-35        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-3)   63-68 (+37)  95-100       52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        W  5         NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          3 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.21         0.03         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     W  9         
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH
INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 9 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 20S TO 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST SUN FEB 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+11)  48-53 (-6)   30-35        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-6)   67-72 (+40)  95-100       55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G22                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          3 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.20         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      W 13         
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 11 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-222045-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
245 PM EST SUN FEB 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+11)  50-55 (-4)   30-35        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+2)   64-69 (+39)  95-100       49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G25                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G22     SW  6 G15    W  5         NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.15         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      NW  9        
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 8 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-222045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST SUN FEB 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+12)  54-59 (-6)   33-38        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  59-64 (+38)  88-93        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G17                  N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.12         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      NW 10        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 13 TO 23.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-222045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST SUN FEB 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+12)  54-59 (-7)   33-38        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   61-66 (+40)  88-93        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.15         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      NW 13        
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          6                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 15 TO 23.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
245 PM EST SUN FEB 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+12)  52-57 (-7)   33-38        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-10)  61-66 (+38)  92-97        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        W  5         W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          3 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.18         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      W  9         
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH
INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 14 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
245 PM EST SUN FEB 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+13)  54-59 (-5)   33-38        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-11)  58-63 (+36)  86-91        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        NW  6        NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.12         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     NW  9        
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 16 TO 23.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
245 PM EST SUN FEB 21 2010 /145 PM CST SUN FEB 21 2010/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+14)  55-60 (-7)   34-39        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-12)  54-59 (+32)  83-88        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         NW  7 G16    NW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.08         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW 12        
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 23.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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