
729 
FNUS54 KMRX 211518 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1018 AM EST SUN FEB 21 2010

...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY LATE TONIGHT. 
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND RAIN WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA AFTER 
MIDNIGHT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-221630-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1018 AM EST SUN FEB 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+6)   36-41 (+11)  50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+5)   88-93 (+5)   58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.16         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW 23        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-221630-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1018 AM EST SUN FEB 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+3)   34-39 (+11)  49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (+6)   88-93 (-3)   60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.15         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW 23        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-221630-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1018 AM EST SUN FEB 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   36-41 (+12)  51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (+4)   86-91 (-4)   57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      W  8         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    4            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.33         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     W 24         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-221630-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1018 AM EST SUN FEB 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+4)   38-43 (+13)  55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (+2)   92-97 (-4)   59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.42         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      W 22         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-221630-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1018 AM EST SUN FEB 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+3)   37-42 (+13)  55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (+3)   95-100 (-1)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.41         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      W 23         
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               44 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-221630-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1018 AM EST SUN FEB 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+6)   35-40 (+11)  52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (+5)   94-99 (-1)   59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.21         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW 23        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-221630-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1018 AM EST SUN FEB 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+5)   38-43 (+13)  54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (+6)   87-92 (-9)   58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.34         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     W 24         
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-221630-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1018 AM EST SUN FEB 21 2010 /918 AM CST SUN FEB 21 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+5)   40-45 (+14)  55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (+2)   87-92 (-10)  60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.38         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      W 23         
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   64 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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