
165 
FNUS54 KMRX 161955
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
255 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2010

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY 
FOR SW VA AND THE EAST TN MOUNTAINS...


.DISCUSSION...
A CONTINUED NORTHWEST FLOW WILL SUPPLY COLD TEMPERATURES AND SNOW 
SHOWERS OR FLURRIES...WITH ACCUMULATING SNOW IN HIGHER 
ELEVATIONS. CLOUDY SKIES AND SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES WILL LINGER 
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL 
FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
255 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (+1)   27-32 (+5)   16-21        31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+11)  53-58 (-5)   84-89        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G16                  W  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     W 10         W  7 G15     W  9         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.04         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      W 18         
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 24. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (0)    27-32 (+5)   16-21        31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+11)  48-53 (-9)   83-88        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G20                  W  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     W 12 G22     NW 11 G21    W 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.04         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      NW 20        
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 23. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 17 TO
27. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-172100-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
255 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (+1)   29-34 (+6)   16-21        33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+12)  44-49 (-10)  85-90        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G18                  W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     W 11 G20     W  9 G20     W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.03         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      NW 17        
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 9 TO 25. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS 16 TO 29. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-172100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-1)   34-39 (+8)   19-24        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+9)   38-43 (-13)  74-79        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         NW 10 G17    NW  7 G15    NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           10           10           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     NW 15        
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 26. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-172100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-1)   34-39 (+8)   19-24        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+9)   36-41 (-17)  75-80        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 NW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW 10 G17    NW  8 G17    NW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     NW 17        
DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 25. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
255 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (+1)   30-35 (+5)   19-24        35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+7)   48-53 (-7)   81-86        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9                      W  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         W 10         W  7         W  8 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      W 15         
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 24. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
255 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (0)    32-37 (+5)   20-25        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+7)   45-50 (-8)   77-82        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  9         W  6         W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           10           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      NW 13        
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 26. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-172100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
255 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2010 /155 PM CST TUE FEB 16 2010/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (0)    35-40 (+6)   20-25        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+8)   40-45 (-6)   71-76        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G15                  NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W 10 G17     NW  6        NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           10           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NW 14        
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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