
044 
FNUS54 KMRX 160826
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
326 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A CONTINUED NORTHWEST FLOW WILL SUPPLY COLD TEMPERATURES AND SNOW 
SHOWERS OR FLURRIES TODAY...WITH ACCUMULATING SNOW IN HIGHER 
ELEVATIONS. CLOUDY SKIES AND SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES WILL LINGER 
THROUGH WEDNESDAY IN SOME LOCATIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW 
NORMAL FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-170930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
326 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-4)   16-21 (+2)   27-32        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-8)   91-96 (+15)  52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G22                  W  9 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G22     W 11 G20     W 10         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.03         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      W 20         
DISPERSION            82 GOOD                   49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
13 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 22. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-170930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
326 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-3)   14-19 (0)    26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-8)   93-98 (+18)  52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 14 G26                  W 11 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G25     W 14 G25     W 12 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.04         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      W 25         
DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
13 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 21. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-170930-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
326 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-2)   14-19 (0)    30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-10)  91-96 (+19)  39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G18                  W  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G19     W 11 G20     W 11 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W 23         
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
10 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 23. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-170930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
326 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-1)   18-23 (0)    35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-10)  83-88 (+11)  34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G16                  W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G16     W  8 G15     W 10 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     FLURRIES     FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW 20        
DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 23. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-170930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
326 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-1)   17-22 (-1)   36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-8)   83-88 (+11)  33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G18                 NW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G18     W  9 G17     NW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     FLURRIES     FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     NW 24        
DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 22. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-170930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
326 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-2)   18-23 (+2)   30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-12)  87-92 (+12)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G21                  W 10 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G21     W 11 G19     W 10         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      W 20         
DISPERSION            83 GOOD                   58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED FLURRIES. LOWS 16 TO
23. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 22. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-170930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
326 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (0)    19-24 (+1)   33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-15)  82-87 (+8)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G18                  W  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G19     W  9 G17     W  9         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           10           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W 18         
DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 24. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-170930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
326 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2010 /226 AM CST TUE FEB 16 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+1)   20-25 (+1)   36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-15)  80-85 (+8)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G17                  W  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     W  8 G17     W 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW 21        
DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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