
357 
FNUS54 KMRX 152021
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
321 PM EST MON FEB 15 2010

.DISCUSSION...
LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL KEEP SNOW
SHOWERS OR FLURRIES IN THE FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL VERY BRIEFLY PROVIDE DRY WEATHER FOR THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. OTHERWISE...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW SEASONAL
NORMALS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-162130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
321 PM EST MON FEB 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (-12)  24-29 (-2)   16-21        28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-12)  54-59 (-10)  81-86        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G20                  W  9         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     W 12 G20     W 11 G20     W  9         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.03         0.04         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      W 22         
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
14 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 23. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-162130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
321 PM EST MON FEB 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (-11)  24-29 (-1)   15-20        28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-12)  51-56 (-11)  77-82        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 13 G23                  W 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     W 13 G24     W 13 G24     W 12 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       7            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.03         0.04         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      W 22         
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
14 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-162130-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
321 PM EST MON FEB 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (-11)  26-31 (+1)   16-21        30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-15)  48-53 (-10)  77-82        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G17                  W  6 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     W 11 G18     W  9 G18     W 10 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.03         0.04         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      W 18         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
11 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-162130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
321 PM EST MON FEB 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-8)   29-34 (+2)   18-23        34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-16)  47-52 (-9)   79-84        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8                      W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        W  9         W  8 G15     W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           20           10           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      NW 17        
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED FLURRIES. LOWS 15 TO
24. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 25. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-162130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
321 PM EST MON FEB 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-8)   28-33 (+1)   18-23        34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-16)  49-54 (-7)   79-84        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8                     NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        NW 10        NW 10 G18    W 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.02         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     NW 18        
DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               23 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED FLURRIES. LOWS 16 TO
23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 24. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-162130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
321 PM EST MON FEB 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-11)  28-33 (+1)   18-23        31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-13)  49-54 (-15)  74-79        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G18                  W  9 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     W 11 G19     W 11 G18     W  9         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.03         0.03         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      W 20         
DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
17 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 24. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-162130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
321 PM EST MON FEB 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-7)   29-34 (+2)   19-24        34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-13)  46-51 (-16)  77-82        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9                      W  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     W 10 G18     W  9 G16     W  9         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      W 17         
DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED FLURRIES. LOWS 19 TO
25. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-162130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
321 PM EST MON FEB 15 2010 /221 PM CST MON FEB 15 2010/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-6)   31-36 (+3)   21-26        36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-15)  45-50 (-9)   76-81        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8                      W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    W  9 G16     W  8 G16     W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     FLURRIES     FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      NW 17        
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED FLURRIES. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TG

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