
164 
FNUS54 KMRX 150920
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
420 AM EST MON FEB 15 2010

.DISCUSSION...
ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL DEVELOP TODAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS 
ACROSS THE REGION.  SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER THROUGH TONIGHT. 
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-161030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
420 AM EST MON FEB 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-2)   15-20 (-11)  25-30        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+4)   79-84 (-10)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G24                 W 12 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G24     W 11 G20     W 13 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.09         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     W 28         
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               56 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
12 TO 22. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 13 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-161030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
420 AM EST MON FEB 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-2)   15-20 (-10)  26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   76-81 (-13)  48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G24                 W 14 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G24     W 12 G23     W 14 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.09         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     W 31         
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
13 TO 22. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 13 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-161030-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
420 AM EST MON FEB 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-5)   15-20 (-10)  28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-4)   79-84 (-10)  44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 13 G23                  W  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     W 11 G22     W 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.09         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      W 22         
DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 11 TO 24. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 11 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-161030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
420 AM EST MON FEB 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-8)   18-23 (-8)   31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-6)   82-87 (-7)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G20                  W  8         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9         W  8 G15     W  9         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           10           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.03         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 18         
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 15 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-161030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
420 AM EST MON FEB 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-7)   17-22 (-9)   31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-6)   83-88 (-6)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G20                  NW 10 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     W  9 G18     NW 11 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.06         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 23        
DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 16 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO UP TO
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-161030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
420 AM EST MON FEB 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-4)   18-23 (-9)   30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+4)   76-81 (-13)  45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G24                 W 11 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G24     W 11 G19     W 12 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.05         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     W 25         
DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 15 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 15 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-161030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
420 AM EST MON FEB 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-8)   18-23 (-7)   31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   79-84 (-10)  43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G22                  W  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     W  9 G17     W 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.03         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      W 21         
DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 18 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 25. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-161030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
420 AM EST MON FEB 15 2010 /320 AM CST MON FEB 15 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-10)  19-24 (-6)   33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-8)   82-87 (-7)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G21                  W  9 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W  8 G16     W 10 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W 20         
DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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