
868 
FNUS54 KMRX 141936
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
235 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS KENTUCKY TONIGHT...WITH 
SNOW DEVELOPING OVER THE ENTIRE AREA...ESPECIALLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED BY MONDAY MORNING...WITH SNOW 
SHOWERS LINGERING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN 
BELOW NORMAL FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-152030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
235 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+10)  28-33 (-4)   15-20        27-32        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+5)   69-74 (+14)  78-83        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G24                 W 10 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 13 G25    W 11 G19     W 10         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.13         0.06         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     W 23         
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
TEENS. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE TEENS. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN 
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-152030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
235 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+10)  27-32 (-4)   14-19        27-32        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+2)   68-73 (+11)  78-83        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G22                 W 11 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G24     W 13 G23     W 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.14         0.06         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     W 23         
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
TEENS. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE TEENS. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN 
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-152030-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
235 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+7)   26-31 (-6)   14-19        28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-1)   67-72 (+6)   77-82        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 12 G23                 W  9 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W 12 G23     W 11 G21     W  9 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.11         0.06         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 18         
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
11 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO 
MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN 
THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-152030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
235 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+4)   27-32 (-10)  16-21        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-1)   65-70 (+7)   77-82        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G20                  W  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G15     W  9 G17     W  8 G15     W  8         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           50           10           
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.08         0.04         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      W 16         
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
18 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. 
HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-152030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
235 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+6)   27-32 (-10)  15-20        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-4)   68-73 (+10)  78-83        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G19                  NW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     W  9 G16     W  9         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.09         0.04         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      NW 20        
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   40 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
18 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-152030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
235 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+4)   28-33 (-6)   16-21        30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+9)   68-73 (+11)  78-83        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G24                 W  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 13 G25     W 10 G18     W 10         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.11         0.05         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     W 22         
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               56 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
17 TO 22. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 22. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR 30. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-152030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
235 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2010

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+4)   28-33 (-7)   17-22        31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+7)   64-69 (+5)   78-83        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 13 G23                  W  8         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G21     W  9 G16     W  9         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.09         0.04         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      W 18         
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
18 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 23. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-152030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
235 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2010 /135 PM CST SUN FEB 14 2010/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+4)   28-33 (-10)  17-22        33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-4)   62-67 (+4)   78-83        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G22                  W  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G18     W  7 G16     W  8         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       7            2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.06         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      W 17         
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

