
168 
FNUS54 KMRX 132009
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
310 PM EST SAT FEB 13 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A NORTHWEST WIND FLOW ALOFT TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A FEW SNOW FLURRIES 
ACROSS SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST TENNESSEE AND THE MOUNTAINS. A 
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN QUICKLY MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE 
RIVER VALLEY ON SUNDAY...BRINGING ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL BY SUNDAY 
NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL FOR 
THE REST OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-142115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
310 PM EST SAT FEB 13 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (0)    33-38 (+6)   25-30        30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (0)    51-56 (-4)   77-82        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW 12 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         SNOW         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            7            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.12         0.09         0.17         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      SW 21        
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   72 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE TEENS. 
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS IN 
THE TEENS. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-142115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
310 PM EST SAT FEB 13 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (+1)   32-37 (+7)   24-29        29-34        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-2)   52-57 (-5)   89-94        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      S  6 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G21     W  5 G15     SW  5        W 13 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         SNOW         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.09         0.09         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      SW 23        
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE TEENS. 
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS IN 
THE TEENS. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-142115-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
310 PM EST SAT FEB 13 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (+6)   33-38 (+6)   23-28        28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-11)  50-55 (-2)   91-96        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     SW  7 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G15     SW  6        SW  8 G18    W 13 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.15         0.15         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 22         
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 8 TO 22. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS 11 
TO 22. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S. 
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S 
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-142115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
310 PM EST SAT FEB 13 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (+8)   37-42 (+4)   25-30        30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-14)  47-52 (+3)   88-93        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    SW  7        W 10 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.18         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 22         
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 17 TO 22. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-142115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
310 PM EST SAT FEB 13 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (+7)   37-42 (+4)   25-30        30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-15)  48-53 (+3)   90-95        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        SW  8 G15    SW  6        W 11 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.16         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      W 23         
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   76 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE TEENS. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-142115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
310 PM EST SAT FEB 13 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (+1)   36-41 (+7)   27-32        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-1)   49-54 (-5)   80-85        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     SW  5 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 13 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.16         0.12         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      W 22         
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   83 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 17 TO 22.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS 17 
TO 22. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-142115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
310 PM EST SAT FEB 13 2010

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (+5)   36-41 (+4)   26-31        31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-5)   47-52 (-1)   81-86        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 12 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            7            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.16         0.19         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     W 23         
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   95 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 14 TO 23. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS 17 
TO 23. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-142115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
310 PM EST SAT FEB 13 2010 /210 PM CST SAT FEB 13 2010/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+6)   39-44 (+4)   27-32        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-3)   48-53 (+4)   82-87        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      W 11 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        SW  5        W 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.20         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     W 24         
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   99 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 16 TO 23. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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