
184 
FNUS54 KMRX 122016
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
315 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH TODAY...WITH 
SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE 
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA. ANOTHER STRONGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 
WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON SUNDAY... 
BRINGING A BETTER CHANCE FOR ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ON SUNDAY NIGHT 
INTO MONDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-132030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
315 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (+1)   27-32 (-1)   17-22        33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-4)   50-55 (-5)   78-83        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         NW  9 G16    W  9 G16     SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING                7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.00         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     W 17         
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 
IN THE TEENS. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-132030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (+1)   26-31 (-1)   16-21        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-4)   50-55 (-6)   78-83        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G20                 W  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW 12 G22    NW 11 G22    W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           0            50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     W 20         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 
IN THE TEENS. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-132030-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
315 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-3)   29-34 (+2)   17-22        33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-2)   42-47 (-11)  79-84        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G18    NW  7 G16    SW  8 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.00         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     W 17         
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 
9 TO 20. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS AROUND 
20. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO 
MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-132030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-4)   34-39 (+4)   20-25        36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-2)   36-41 (-18)  81-86        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NW 10 G17    NW  6        SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     W 15         
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 
COLDER. LOWS 16 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 
TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-132030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-6)   34-39 (+5)   19-24        36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-7)   37-42 (-18)  82-87        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G18                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NW 11 G19    NW  7        SW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     W 18         
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   24 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 
COLDER. LOWS 14 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 
TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-132030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
315 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (0)    30-35 (0)    18-23        36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-5)   47-52 (-8)   78-83        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         NW  9        NW  5        SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.00         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     W 15         
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 
13 TO 20. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-132030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
315 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-2)   33-38 (+2)   20-25        36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    39-44 (-13)  79-84        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     W 14         
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 
COLDER. LOWS 15 TO 21. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 
TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-132030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
315 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2010 /215 PM CST FRI FEB 12 2010/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-4)   37-42 (+5)   22-27        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+5)   34-39 (-17)  80-85        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     SW 17        
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 
COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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