
261 
FNUS54 KMRX 121529 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1030 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH TODAY...WITH 
SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE 
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA. ANOTHER STRONGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 
WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON SUNDAY... 
BRINGING A BETTER CHANCE FOR ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ON SUNDAY NIGHT 
INTO MONDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-131600-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1030 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+3)   16-21 (+1)   28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-8)   77-82 (-8)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         NW 10        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM                     
PRECIP END                         7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     NW 20        
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 
17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-131600-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1030 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+2)   15-20 (0)    28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-3)   77-82 (-8)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 11 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 12 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      NW 23        
DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 
17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-131600-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1030 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-2)   15-20 (-4)   31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-7)   78-83 (-1)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     NW 17        
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 23. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 13 TO 28. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
TEENS. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO 
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S 
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-131600-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1030 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-4)   17-22 (-5)   35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+4)   80-85 (+4)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     NW 18        
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-131600-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1030 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-4)   17-22 (-7)   34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+9)   81-86 (0)    41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        NW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      NW 24        
DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               36 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             5                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-131600-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1030 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+2)   17-22 (-1)   31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-2)   77-82 (-8)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 10         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     NW 17        
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 
20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-131600-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1030 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-1)   17-22 (-3)   34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+2)   79-84 (0)    43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         NW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM                                  
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7                     NW 16        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-131600-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1030 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2010 /930 AM CST FRI FEB 12 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-5)   19-24 (-5)   38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+10)  79-84 (+10)  36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  6                     NW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6 G16    NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     NW 18        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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