
029 
FNUS54 KMRX 092024
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
324 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2010

.DISCUSSION...
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PULL AWAY FROM THE AREA TONIGHT...ALLOWING 
A SURGE OF MUCH COLDER AIR TO PUSH INTO THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY 
NIGHT.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-102130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
324 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-15)  23-28 (-14)  14-19        29-34        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  52-57 (-19)  94-99        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 18 G30                  W  9 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G23     W 18 G30     W 15 G27     W  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.11         0.04         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 43                      NW 24        
DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-102130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
324 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-14)  22-27 (-15)  13-18        28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  52-57 (-23)  95-100       43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 20 G36                  W 12 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G30     W 21 G36     W 18 G34     W 10 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.11         0.06         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 44                      NW 28        
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 21. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-102130-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
324 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-15)  25-30 (-13)  13-18        31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  44-49 (-26)  95-100       35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 18 G33                  NW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G31     NW 18 G33    NW 13 G27    NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.11         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 36                      NW 20        
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-102130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
324 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-16)  32-37 (-9)   17-22        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-4)   37-42 (-28)  86-91        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 14 G27                  N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G24     NW 15 G27    NW 11 G21    N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 31                     N 21         
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 23. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 25. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-102130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
324 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-17)  32-37 (-11)  17-22        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-2)   37-42 (-28)  88-93        25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 15 G27                  N  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G25     NW 16 G28    N 11 G23     N  6 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 37                     N 29         
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 23. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 25. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-102130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
324 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-12)  27-32 (-13)  17-22        33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+3)   45-50 (-23)  83-88        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 18 G31                  W  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G25     W 18 G31     W 13 G24     W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.07         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 39                      NW 17        
DISPERSION                         84 GOOD                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 22. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-102130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
324 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-12)  30-35 (-9)   17-22        35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-11)  39-44 (-23)  82-87        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 16 G29                  NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G24     NW 16 G29    NW 10 G23    NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 37                     NW 15        
DISPERSION                         87 GOOD                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-102130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
324 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2010 /224 PM CST TUE FEB 9 2010/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-12)  35-40 (-5)   20-25        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-19)  32-37 (-22)  75-80        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 15 G27                  N  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G25     NW 15 G27    NW 11 G23    N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 35                     N 20         
DISPERSION                         88 GOOD                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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