
095 
FNUS54 KMRX 080947
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
447 AM EST MON FEB 8 2010

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION TODAY...PROVIDING MOSTLY 
CLOUD SKIES BUT DRY CONDITIONS. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP 
OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TODAY AND SPREAD RAIN AND SNOW 
INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY MONDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL 
CONTINUE TUESDAY WITH RAIN AND SNOW. AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL THEN 
MOVE INTO THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BRINGING COLDER AIR 
AND SNOW TO THE EASTERN TENNESSEE VALLEY.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-091100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
447 AM EST MON FEB 8 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+7)   29-34 (+9)   35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-22)  90-95 (+6)   63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/FZ RA   
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.15         0.32         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      SE 21        
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 17 TO 25. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 13 TO 20. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-091100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
447 AM EST MON FEB 8 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+6)   28-33 (+9)   35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-17)  92-97 (+1)   69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6 G16    S 10 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.39         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     S 22         
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 16 TO 26.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 13 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-091100-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
447 AM EST MON FEB 8 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+7)   29-34 (+9)   37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-22)  95-100 (+8)  67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 11 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6 G16    S 10 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/FZ RA   
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.43         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     S 24         
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
14 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 10 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO UP TO
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-091100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
447 AM EST MON FEB 8 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+7)   33-38 (+8)   39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-18)  93-98 (+7)   64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5 G15    S  8 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/FZ RA   
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.14         0.44         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      SE 23        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
15 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-091100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
447 AM EST MON FEB 8 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+7)   33-38 (+7)   41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-20)  95-100 (+7)  62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G16    S  6 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/FZ RA   
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            6            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.51         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      SE 21        
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               49 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
15 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-091100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
447 AM EST MON FEB 8 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+5)   30-35 (+7)   38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-15)  91-96 (+5)   67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/FZ RA   
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.14         0.36         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      SE 17        
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 19 TO 26.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 16 TO 22. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-091100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
447 AM EST MON FEB 8 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+5)   32-37 (+8)   39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-14)  86-91 (+3)   61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/FZ RA   
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.22         0.31         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      S 16         
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
19 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-091100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
447 AM EST MON FEB 8 2010 /347 AM CST MON FEB 8 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+3)   33-38 (+8)   38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-12)  84-89 (+1)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.25         0.30         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      S 22         
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
19 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

