
631 
FNUS54 KMRX 042019
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
319 PM EST THU FEB 4 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST 
TONIGHT...BEFORE SHIFTING TO THE EAST COAST AND MOVING AWAY TO THE 
NORTHEAST FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.  COLDER AIR WILL PUSH IN BEHIND 
THIS SYSTEM FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-052130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
319 PM EST THU FEB 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+10)  36-41 (-5)   27-32        33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-10)  63-68 (+15)  95-100       66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E 12 G22                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  8 G22    SE  5 G15    N  9 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           60           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            8            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.57         0.24         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 31                     N  9         
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
17 TO 27. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 25. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-052130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
319 PM EST THU FEB 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+9)   34-39 (-6)   27-32        31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-7)   67-72 (+15)  95-100       67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 16 G32                 W  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G17    SE 14 G33    LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           60           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            8            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.51         0.61         0.22         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 40                      NW 15        
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 13 TO 25. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-052130-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
319 PM EST THU FEB 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+10)  36-41 (-3)   28-33        33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-7)   66-71 (+10)  95-100       63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 13 G30                 W 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        S  5 G22     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           60           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            8            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.76         0.53         0.15         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 33                      NW 21        
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 13 TO 27. EAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-052130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
319 PM EST THU FEB 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+10)  39-44 (-2)   30-35        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-6)   72-77 (+14)  95-100       58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 12 G26                 W 10 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.92         0.44         0.10         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 30                      NW 23        
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               64 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 29. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-052130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
319 PM EST THU FEB 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+11)  38-43 (-4)   30-35        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-5)   72-77 (+18)  95-100       59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 15 G30                 NW 11 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  8 G18     SE  6 G19    LGT/VAR      NW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.97         0.48         0.10         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 32                      NW 26        
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   70 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          6                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-052130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
319 PM EST THU FEB 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+9)   37-42 (-5)   29-34        35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-8)   69-74 (+16)  95-100       60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E 11 G22                  W  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        E  7 G18     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           50           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.53         0.57         0.19         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 29                     NW 14        
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 27. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-052130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
319 PM EST THU FEB 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+9)   38-43 (-4)   31-36        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-3)   69-74 (+12)  95-100       58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  8 G19                  W  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.67         0.48         0.13         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 22                      NW 21        
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-052130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
319 PM EST THU FEB 4 2010 /219 PM CST THU FEB 4 2010/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+7)   40-45 (-3)   32-37        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-1)   72-77 (+13)  95-100       54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5 G19                 NW 11 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  8 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.93         0.37         0.07         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 24                      NW 25        
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   90 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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