
592 
FNUS54 KMRX 040957
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
457 AM EST THU FEB 4 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST TODAY AND 
TONIGHT...BEFORE SHIFTING TO THE EAST COAST AND MOVING AWAY TO THE 
NORTHEAST FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.  COLDER AIR WILL PUSH IN BEHIND 
THIS SYSTEM FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-051100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
457 AM EST THU FEB 4 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+4)   30-35 (+10)  36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-10)  87-92 (-4)   74-79        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  6        SE  7 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SLEET/RAIN   SLEET/RAIN   
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.34         0.55         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     S 28         
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 18 TO 28. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-051100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
457 AM EST THU FEB 4 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+3)   28-33 (+8)   34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-5)   91-96 (0)    75-80        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     SE 11 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  8 G16    SE 10 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SLEET/RAIN   SLEET/RAIN   
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          100          
PRECIP DURATION                    5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.44         0.57         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      S 32         
DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-051100-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
457 AM EST THU FEB 4 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (0)    30-35 (+8)   36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   91-96 (-1)   72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SE  8 G15    S  7 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SLEET/RAIN   SLEET/RAIN   
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.57         0.48         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      S 30         
DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S
TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-051100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
457 AM EST THU FEB 4 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-3)   33-38 (+8)   39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+12)  91-96 (-2)   77-82        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     SE  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  8 G17    SE  5 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.64         0.41         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 15                     S 26         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-051100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
457 AM EST THU FEB 4 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-2)   33-38 (+8)   38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+9)   92-97 (-4)   76-81        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     SE  9 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  8 G16    SE  6 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         FRZ RAIN     RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.66         0.44         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 14                     S 28         
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   10 POOR      
MAX LVORI             5                         7            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS
THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-051100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
457 AM EST THU FEB 4 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+2)   31-36 (+8)   37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-4)   88-93 (0)    75-80        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  6        E  6 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          100          
PRECIP DURATION                    5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.45         0.53         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     S 25         
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-051100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
457 AM EST THU FEB 4 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+1)   33-38 (+9)   38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   88-93 (+1)   75-80        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          100          
PRECIP DURATION                    5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.54         0.44         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     S 22         
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-051100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
457 AM EST THU FEB 4 2010 /357 AM CST THU FEB 4 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-2)   34-39 (+7)   40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+12)  89-94 (+4)   75-80        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5                      SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  7 G15    SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.64         0.36         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 16                     S 23         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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