
919 
FNUS54 KMRX 031945
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
245 PM EST WED FEB 3 2010

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTH TONIGHT.  A 
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON THURSDAY 
NIGHT...AND WILL BRING UNSETTLED WEATHER INTO THE WEEKEND.    


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-042045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
245 PM EST WED FEB 3 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-6)   43-48 (+6)   29-34        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  40-45 (-16)  91-96        70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  8        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE 10 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           100          
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.73         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  5                      S 32         
DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 16 TO 26. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-042045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST WED FEB 3 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-5)   41-46 (+4)   30-35        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  42-47 (-12)  89-94        70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  8 G17    SE 15 G32    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           100          
PRECIP DURATION                                 5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         0.85         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  3                     S 39         
DISPERSION                         1 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S
TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH UP
TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 16 TO 28. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER
40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-042045-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
245 PM EST WED FEB 3 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-3)   40-45 (+1)   33-38        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  52-57 (+2)   91-96        77-82        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6 G16    S 13 G30     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           90           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.18         0.87         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  5                      S 40         
DISPERSION                         1 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S
TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO
15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 14 TO 29. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-042045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST WED FEB 3 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-2)   42-47 (-2)   35-40        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  53-58 (+9)   95-100       78-83        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 12 G27    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G22    S 12 G28     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           90           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.27         0.79         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      S 45         
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 29. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-042045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST WED FEB 3 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-2)   43-48 (-1)   36-41        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  54-59 (+12)  95-100       80-85        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 15 G28    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G21    SE 13 G29    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           90           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.27         0.85         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      SE 47        
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          9                         8            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 28. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-042045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
245 PM EST WED FEB 3 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-4)   43-48 (+3)   33-38        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (0)    43-48 (-11)  86-91        65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  9 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        E  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           100          
PRECIP DURATION                                 5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         0.83         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      1800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  6                      SE 32        
DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 19 TO 29. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-042045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
245 PM EST WED FEB 3 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-3)   43-48 (+2)   33-38        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (0)    46-51 (-7)   86-91        67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  6 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.17         0.76         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      1600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  7                     S 32         
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-042045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
245 PM EST WED FEB 3 2010 /145 PM CST WED FEB 3 2010/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-2)   44-49 (-1)   34-39        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (0)    46-51 (+1)   87-92        70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      E  7 G18     S  5 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.31         0.66         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2100                      1500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 14                     S 38         
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

