
218 
FNUS54 KMRX 030331 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1031 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2010

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR WILL SLOWLY BEGIN TO FILTER INTO THE 
REGION OVERNIGHT AND BRING SUNNY SKIES TO THE REGION WEDNESDAY. CLOUDS 
WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY WITH RAIN SPREADING INTO 
THE REGION AHEAD OF ANOTHER SYSTEM DEVELOPING ALONG THE GULF COAST.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-040445-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1031 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-2)   38-43 (0)    20-25        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+11)  48-53 (-12)  86-91        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      SE  7        
DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-040445-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1031 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-3)   39-44 (+2)   19-24        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 46-51 (-21)  85-90        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      1700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     SE  9        
DISPERSION                         1 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S
TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-040445-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1031 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-6)   42-47 (+4)   20-25        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+6)   39-44 (-37)  87-92        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2000                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      S  3         
DISPERSION                         1 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-040445-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1031 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-5)   46-51 (+5)   26-31        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-1)   35-40 (-40)  83-88        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2100                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      SE  8        
DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-040445-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1031 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-5)   48-53 (+6)   27-32        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (0)    33-38 (-43)  82-87        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2100                      1800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      SE 10        
DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          6                         6            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-040445-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1031 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-1)   42-47 (+4)   22-27        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+2)   45-50 (-24)  87-92        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     SE  7        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 30. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-040445-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1031 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-3)   43-48 (+4)   23-28        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-2)   42-47 (-31)  91-96        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      1800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     E  3         
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 40. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-040445-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1031 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2010 /931 PM CST TUE FEB 2 2010/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-3)   46-51 (+5)   28-33        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-5)   36-41 (-32)  82-87        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2000                      1900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      SE 10        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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