
758 
FNUS54 KMRX 282018
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
318 PM EST THU JAN 28 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. A STRONGER 
STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION FRIDAY.  
THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA FRIDAY 
THROUGH SATURDAY.  RAIN IN THE SOUTHWEST WILL TRANSITION TO MOSTLY 
SNOW BY FRIDAY NIGHT OVER THE SOUTHERN TN VALLEY...AND MAINLY SNOW
IS EXPECTED OVER THE NORTHERN VALLEY.  THIS SYSTEM MAY GENERATE 
SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL OVER ALL BUT THE SOUTHERN LOCATIONS.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-292130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
318 PM EST THU JAN 28 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-4)   30-35 (-15)  23-28        25-30        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-12)  43-48 (+11)  86-91        64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  8         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      NE  5        NE  8        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.61         0.16         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     SE 10        
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 11 TO 18.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 9 TO 17. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-292130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
318 PM EST THU JAN 28 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-3)   31-36 (-14)  23-28        25-30        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-15)  38-43 (+4)   91-96        64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G17    LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  7 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.92         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      S 17         
DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 13 TO 19.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 9 TO 15. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-292130-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
318 PM EST THU JAN 28 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-4)   33-38 (-13)  25-30        29-34        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-6)   41-46 (+7)   95-100       66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.21         1.03         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  3                      S 16         
DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 9 TO
20. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 5 TO 17. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-292130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
318 PM EST THU JAN 28 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (0)    37-42 (-15)  28-33        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-9)   38-43 (+8)   95-100       67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  7 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         NE  5        E  6         N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           100          60           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.28         0.87         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  5                     S 15         
DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 23. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 18. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-292130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
318 PM EST THU JAN 28 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+1)   39-44 (-15)  27-32        33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-8)   37-42 (+9)   95-100       73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  6         SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           100          60           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.27         0.87         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     S 20         
DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          3                         9            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 24. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 18. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-292130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
318 PM EST THU JAN 28 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-1)   32-37 (-15)  25-30        27-32        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-16)  42-47 (+8)   95-100       64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5         NE  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.16         0.82         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  3                      SE 13        
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS
12 TO 19. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 9 TO 16. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-292130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
318 PM EST THU JAN 28 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-2)   32-37 (-16)  25-30        28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-9)   46-51 (+13)  95-100       59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     NE  8 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NE  6        E  6         N  8         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION                    5            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.25         0.75         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      1900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  6                     E  8         
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 23. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 18. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-292130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
318 PM EST THU JAN 28 2010 /218 PM CST THU JAN 28 2010/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-2)   36-41 (-15)  29-34        31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-7)   41-46 (+10)  93-98        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  7                     NE  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         NE  8        NE  8 G17    N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           100          50           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.30         0.72         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2000                      1300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  8                     S  8         
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 23. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 20. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

DGS/TD

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