
250 
FNUS54 KMRX 252005
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
305 PM EST MON JAN 25 2010

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIANS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY BRINGING WITH IT SNOW SHOWERS AND 
WINDY CONDITIONS. ACCUMULATING SNOWS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY ACROSS THE 
HIGHER ELEVATIONS. IT WILL REMAIN COLD ON TUESDAY WITH HIGHER 
ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND THE MOUNTAINS 
BORDERING NORTH CAROLINA. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO 
THE REGION FOR WEDNESDAY...BRINGING DRY WEATHER FOR ONE DAY BEFORE 
ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE AREA...ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-262115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
305 PM EST MON JAN 25 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-15)  29-34 (-15)  19-24        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-9)   52-57 (+5)   80-85        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G22                  W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G29     W 13 G22     W 11 G21     SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      W 17         
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-262115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EST MON JAN 25 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-15)  28-33 (-14)  18-23        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (-3)   54-59 (+10)  80-85        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 14 G25                  W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 18 G33     W 15 G25     W 13 G24     SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.05         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 31                      W 20         
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO
UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-262115-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
305 PM EST MON JAN 25 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-14)  29-34 (-10)  18-23        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-6)   47-52 (+2)   79-84        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 15 G27                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 18 G36     W 14 G25     W 10 G23     SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.04         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 30                      NW 13        
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-262115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EST MON JAN 25 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-13)  34-39 (-9)   21-26        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-16)  43-48 (+6)   70-75        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G23                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G29     W 12 G22     NW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      NW 10        
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-262115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EST MON JAN 25 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-13)  35-40 (-9)   22-27        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-18)  40-45 (+1)   69-74        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 13 G26                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G29     W 14 G25     NW  9 G20    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 30                      NW 15        
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               9 POOR       
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. HIGHS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-262115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
305 PM EST MON JAN 25 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-13)  33-38 (-12)  20-25        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-12)  50-55 (+8)   77-82        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 13 G23                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G26     W 13 G23     W  9 G18     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      W 13         
DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER
30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-262115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
305 PM EST MON JAN 25 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-12)  34-39 (-8)   21-26        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-14)  45-50 (0)    74-79        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G21                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G23     W 12 G21     W  6 G15     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      W  9         
DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-262115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
305 PM EST MON JAN 25 2010 /205 PM CST MON JAN 25 2010/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-12)  37-42 (-6)   22-27        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-19)  38-43 (-2)   74-79        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G22                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G24     W 11 G20     NW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            1 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      NW 10        
DISPERSION                         74 GOOD                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

