
730 
FNUS54 KMRX 212000
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
300 PM EST THU JAN 21 2010

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST TONIGHT...SPREADING SHOWERS 
AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS REGION.  
DRIER WEATHER WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA ON FRIDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
300 PM EST THU JAN 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-6)   43-48 (+2)   31-36        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  68-73 (-8)   92-97        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G22    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 10 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      S 13         
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST THU JAN 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-7)   42-47 (+1)   28-33        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  66-71 (-5)   95-100       50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G25    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 11 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      S 13         
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-222100-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
300 PM EST THU JAN 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-6)   45-50 (-2)   30-35        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-4)   65-70 (-6)   93-98        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G23     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      S 10         
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-222100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST THU JAN 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-9)   48-53 (-3)   33-38        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+1)   65-70 (-10)  92-97        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G19    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      S 13         
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-222100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST THU JAN 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-9)   49-54 (-2)   32-37        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+2)   65-70 (-12)  93-98        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      S 12         
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    2 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          6                         7            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
300 PM EST THU JAN 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-7)   46-51 (0)    32-37        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-2)   63-68 (-12)  95-100       49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G19    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      S 12         
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
300 PM EST THU JAN 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-6)   47-52 (-2)   34-39        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   65-70 (-15)  90-95        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      S 13         
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
300 PM EST THU JAN 21 2010 /200 PM CST THU JAN 21 2010/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-7)   49-54 (-4)   36-41        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  63-68 (-13)  89-94        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 11 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      S 15         
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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