
732 
FNUS54 KMRX 211001
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
501 AM EST THU JAN 21 2010

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE MID MISSISSIPPI 
VALLEY REGION TODAY...SPREADING SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS INTO 
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINS ARE POSSIBLE. 

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-221100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
501 AM EST THU JAN 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-4)   35-40 (-5)   43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-2)   95-100 (+5)  68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E 10 G23                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 14 G27    SE  9 G24    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           40           
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.17         0.06         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1400                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 38                     SE  3        
DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-221100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
501 AM EST THU JAN 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-4)   34-39 (-6)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-5)   93-98 (+1)   65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 15 G31                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 19 G35    SE 13 G29    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           40           
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.19         0.06         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1400                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 32                     NW  3        
DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-221100-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
501 AM EST THU JAN 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+2)   36-41 (-6)   45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-4)   95-100 (+2)  63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 16 G38                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 19 G39    S  8 G25     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           40           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.64         0.17         0.03         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1600                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 36                     W  3         
DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-221100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
501 AM EST THU JAN 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+1)   38-43 (-9)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+2)   95-100 (+4)  64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 16 G35                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 17 G36    SE  8 G19    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.81         0.12         0.02         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1600                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 32                     SW  5        
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-221100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
501 AM EST THU JAN 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (0)    38-43 (-9)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+5)   95-100 (+5)  64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 18 G35                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 18 G34    SE  7 G19    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.89         0.13         0.02         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1700                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 29                     SW  5        
DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI             9                         7            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-221100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
501 AM EST THU JAN 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-2)   36-41 (-7)   46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-1)   91-96 (-2)   62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E 10 G21                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 13 G25     SE  6 G19    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           30           
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.19         0.05         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1600                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 33                     SW  3        
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-221100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
501 AM EST THU JAN 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-2)   38-43 (-6)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+6)   95-100 (0)   65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  8 G21                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G23    SE  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.59         0.16         0.03         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1900                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 36                     SW  5        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-221100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
501 AM EST THU JAN 21 2010 /401 AM CST THU JAN 21 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (0)    40-45 (-6)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-6)   94-99 (0)    64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 11 G25                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 13 G24    S  7 G15     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.68         0.07         0.02         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2000                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 31                      W  5         
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TD

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