
390 
FNUS54 KMRX 202017
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
317 PM EST WED JAN 20 2010

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE MID MISSISSIPPI 
VALLEY REGION LATE TONIGHT...SPREADING SHOWERS AND A FEW 
THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.
SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS MAY OCCUR ON THURSDAY...WITH SHOWERS 
LINGERING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO 
RETURN LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-212130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
317 PM EST WED JAN 20 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+1)   45-50 (-3)   34-39        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  68-73 (-11)  94-99        66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 10 G23                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 14 G27    SE 12 G26    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.36         0.16         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 26                     E  7         
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-212130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
317 PM EST WED JAN 20 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+2)   45-50 (-3)   34-39        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  65-70 (-14)  95-100       63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 12 G24                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 17 G33    SE 14 G31    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       7            8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.60         0.16         0.03         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 33                     N  8         
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-212130-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
317 PM EST WED JAN 20 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   49-54 (+2)   35-40        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  66-71 (-10)  95-100       63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 14 G33                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G15     SE 18 G37    S 12 G28     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.86         0.15         0.02         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 25                     NW  6        
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-212130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
317 PM EST WED JAN 20 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+8)   52-57 (+1)   39-44        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-3)   69-74 (-5)   93-98        64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 14 G32                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SE 17 G33    SE 10 G23    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.65         0.85         0.08         0.01         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 26                     S  6         
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-212130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
317 PM EST WED JAN 20 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+9)   52-57 (+1)   39-44        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-4)   72-77 (-1)   95-100       64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 14 G29                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 15 G30    SE  8 G19    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.64         0.93         0.09         0.01         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 35                     SW  6        
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               3 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          5                         7            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-212130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
317 PM EST WED JAN 20 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   49-54 (-2)   36-41        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  65-70 (-12)  92-97        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  9 G20                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 13 G24    SE  9 G22    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.50         0.15         0.03         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 24                     NE  6        
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-212130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
317 PM EST WED JAN 20 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+2)   51-56 (-2)   38-43        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  70-75 (-5)   94-99        62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  9 G21                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SE 11 G22    SE  7 G18    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.71         0.14         0.01         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 18                     E  6         
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-212130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
317 PM EST WED JAN 20 2010 /217 PM CST WED JAN 20 2010/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+4)   54-59 (0)    40-45        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  62-67 (-11)  90-95        62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 12 G25                 SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G15     SE 13 G24    S  9 G20     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.75         0.69         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 22                     S  7         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TG

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