
034 
FNUS54 KMRX 191937
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
237 PM EST TUE JAN 19 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION TONIGHT...AND THEN BECOME 
STATIONARY...BRINGING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS THROUGH THE END OF THE 
WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEK AND 
INTO THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
237 PM EST TUE JAN 19 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+5)   49-54 (-1)   38-43        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+2)   65-70 (+12)  95-100       72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        S  7 G16     LGT/VAR      SE 12 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           60           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.20         0.09         0.42         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     SE 26        
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
237 PM EST TUE JAN 19 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+7)   47-52 (-2)   38-43        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-1)   66-71 (+15)  95-100       70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  5         SE 12 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           80           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.13         0.18         0.69         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      SE 33        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-202045-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
237 PM EST TUE JAN 19 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+7)   46-51 (-6)   41-46        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+1)   71-76 (+26)  95-100       69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      SE  9 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        S  6         S  6 G15     S 12 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           80           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.15         0.36         0.84         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     SE 25        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-202045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
237 PM EST TUE JAN 19 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+6)   51-56 (-5)   45-50        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  71-76 (+29)  95-100       67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SE  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  6         S  7 G16     S 10 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           80           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.14         0.53         0.84         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     SE 26        
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-202045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
237 PM EST TUE JAN 19 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+5)   51-56 (-7)   45-50        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  72-77 (+33)  95-100       69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  9 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  6         SE  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           80           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.12         0.52         0.99         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SE 35        
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          5                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
237 PM EST TUE JAN 19 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+6)   51-56 (-2)   41-46        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-1)   66-71 (+16)  95-100       69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      SE 11 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           70           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.18         0.13         0.57         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     SE 24        
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
237 PM EST TUE JAN 19 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+6)   51-56 (-3)   43-48        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (0)    71-76 (+21)  95-100       68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G18    LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          70           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            4            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.22         0.29         0.53         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     SE 18        
DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-202045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
237 PM EST TUE JAN 19 2010 /137 PM CST TUE JAN 19 2010/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+6)   52-57 (-4)   46-51        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  72-77 (+25)  94-99        67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      SE  8 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  6         S  8 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           80           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.17         0.63         0.54         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     SE 22        
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

