
547 
FNUS54 KMRX 181948
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
248 PM EST MON JAN 18 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE...CENTERED OVER THE GULF COASTAL REGION... 
WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
THROUGH TUESDAY...BRINGING TRANQUIL WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL 
TEMPERATURES. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION TUESDAY 
NIGHT...AND THEN BECOME STATIONARY...BRINGING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS 
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL 
THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-192100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
248 PM EST MON JAN 18 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (0)    50-55 (+3)   34-39        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-10)  50-55 (-2)   93-98        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2100                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      W 17         
DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO
15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...OCCASIONAL RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
25 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-192100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EST MON JAN 18 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-2)   49-54 (+3)   32-37        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-3)   48-53 (-8)   95-100       55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      W 16         
DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO
15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...OCCASIONAL RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-192100-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
248 PM EST MON JAN 18 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-3)   52-57 (+4)   35-40        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+2)   42-47 (-12)  90-95        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      SW 15        
DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO 20 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...BREEZY. OCCASIONAL RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 25 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
25 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-192100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EST MON JAN 18 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-2)   56-61 (+3)   37-42        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (0)    39-44 (-9)   92-97        61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      SW 15        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO 20 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...BREEZY. OCCASIONAL RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-192100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EST MON JAN 18 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-2)   58-63 (+3)   37-42        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-3)   37-42 (-11)  91-96        64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      W 15         
DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               14 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          6                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...OCCASIONAL RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-192100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
248 PM EST MON JAN 18 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-2)   53-58 (+3)   35-40        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-5)   47-52 (-3)   93-98        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2100                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 17         
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...OCCASIONAL RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-192100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
248 PM EST MON JAN 18 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (0)    54-59 (+3)   39-44        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-7)   47-52 (-1)   88-93        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      SW 16        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...OCCASIONAL RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-192100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
248 PM EST MON JAN 18 2010 /148 PM CST MON JAN 18 2010/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (0)    57-62 (+4)   39-44        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-8)   44-49 (0)    93-98        61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      SW 17        
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...OCCASIONAL RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
.SUNDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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