
724 
FNUS54 KMRX 160845
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
345 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO 
INTO THE EAST TENNESSEE VALLEY THIS WEEKEND. WARMING TREND WILL 
CONTINUE TODAY. WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TONIGHT.
 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-170945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
345 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   38-43 (+11)  48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+2)   90-95 (+16)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  5         S  9 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.25         0.17         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1900                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      S 33         
DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-170945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
345 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-4)   36-41 (+11)  46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+14)  95-100 (+21) 61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 14 G43    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  7 G17    S 11 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          70           
PRECIP DURATION                    5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.46         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      S 36         
DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-170945-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
345 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-5)   39-44 (+13)  46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+15)  93-98 (+20)  61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 12 G29     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  9 G32    S 12 G28     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            7            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.68         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      S 38         
DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-170945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
345 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-4)   40-45 (+14)  48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+18)  91-96 (+5)   59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  9 G29     SW 12 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.84         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1900                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      SW 33        
DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-170945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
345 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-5)   41-46 (+15)  50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+18)  93-98 (+3)   57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E 10 G26     S 10 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.90         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2000                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      S 33         
DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI             5                         6            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-170945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
345 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-1)   38-43 (+13)  49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+9)   95-100 (+7)  58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  6         S  9 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          70           
PRECIP DURATION                    5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.44         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1700                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      S 30         
DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-170945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
345 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-3)   39-44 (+12)  47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+11)  88-93 (+10)  61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  6 G16     SW 10 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          70           
PRECIP DURATION                    7            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.54         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1500                      1800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      S 30         
DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-170945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
345 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2010 /245 AM CST SAT JAN 16 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-3)   40-45 (+10)  47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+17)  87-92 (+5)   62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6 G15    E  9 G25     SW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.80         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1500                      1800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 13                     SW 29        
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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