
944 
FNUS54 KMRX 151941
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
241 PM EST FRI JAN 15 2010

.DISCUSSION...
THE WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND 
...AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW STRENGTHENS OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST. THE 
FORECAST WILL REMAIN DRY UNTIL LATE SATURDAY...AS A STORM SYSTEM 
MAKES PROGRESS NORTHEAST FROM THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE 
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-162045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
241 PM EST FRI JAN 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+4)   49-54 (0)    37-42        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+8)   33-38 (+1)   74-79        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           80           
PRECIP DURATION                                 5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.24         0.18         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2000                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  5                      S 30         
DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-162045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
241 PM EST FRI JAN 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+4)   46-51 (-4)   35-40        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+12)  38-43 (+13)  78-83        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 14 G43    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7 G17    S 11 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            100          70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.44         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      S 35         
DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-162045-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
241 PM EST FRI JAN 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+4)   44-49 (-8)   38-43        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+10)  35-40 (+14)  68-73        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G29     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G32    S 12 G30     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.63         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      S 37         
DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-162045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
241 PM EST FRI JAN 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+5)   47-52 (-8)   40-45        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+4)   38-43 (+18)  68-73        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  9 G29     SW 12 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           100          60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.73         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2000                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 13                     S 35         
DISPERSION                         1 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-162045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
241 PM EST FRI JAN 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+6)   49-54 (-7)   42-47        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  37-42 (+19)  70-75        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  9 G26     S 11 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.81         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2100                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     S 37         
DISPERSION                         1 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          7                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-162045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
241 PM EST FRI JAN 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+6)   48-53 (-3)   36-41        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (0)    37-42 (+9)   78-83        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5         S  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            100          70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.41         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1800                      1900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  6                     S 29         
DISPERSION                         1 VERY POOR               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-162045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
241 PM EST FRI JAN 15 2010

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+5)   46-51 (-7)   37-42        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-4)   42-47 (+15)  70-75        61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  6 G16     S  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.48         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1600                      1700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  7                     S 30         
DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-162045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
241 PM EST FRI JAN 15 2010 /141 PM CST FRI JAN 15 2010/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+8)   48-53 (-6)   39-44        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-1)   44-49 (+20)  69-74        61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E 10 G25     SW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.67         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1600                      1700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 13                     SW 31        
DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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