
649 
FNUS54 KMRX 151519 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1019 AM EST FRI JAN 15 2010

.DISCUSSION...
THE WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND 
...AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW STRENGTHENS OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST. THE 
FORECAST WILL REMAIN DRY UNTIL LATE SATURDAY...AS A STORM SYSTEM 
MAKES PROGRESS NORTHEAST FROM THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE 
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-161630-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1019 AM EST FRI JAN 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-1)   29-34 (+6)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (+3)   93-98 (+18)  46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      W  7         
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-161630-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1019 AM EST FRI JAN 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+4)   31-36 (+10)  46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-2)   86-91 (+12)  44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      SW  7        
DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-161630-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1019 AM EST FRI JAN 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+6)   32-37 (+10)  47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      18-23 (-6)   86-91 (+13)  45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     S  6         
DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-161630-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1019 AM EST FRI JAN 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+3)   33-38 (+12)  49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-2)   91-96 (+2)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     SE  8        
DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-161630-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1019 AM EST FRI JAN 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   29-34 (+9)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (+1)   95-100 (+4)  46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     S  8         
DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI             7                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-161630-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1019 AM EST FRI JAN 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+3)   28-33 (+9)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-3)   93-98 (0)    46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      SE  6        
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-161630-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1019 AM EST FRI JAN 15 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+3)   29-34 (+7)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-2)   95-100 (+6)  49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     SE  6        
DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER.
LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-161630-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1019 AM EST FRI JAN 15 2010 /919 AM CST FRI JAN 15 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+2)   32-37 (+10)  49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-1)   93-98 (+2)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2100                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      SE  8        
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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