
068 
FNUS54 KMRX 112001
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
301 PM EST MON JAN 11 2010

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM EST TUESDAY FOR THE EAST TN MOUNTAINS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS 
OF SOUTHWEST VA...

.DISCUSSION...
A QUICK MOVING COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT.  THIS WILL BRING IS LIGHT SNOW OR 
FLURRIES TO THE AREA.  LESS THAN AN INCH OF SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS 
THE TN VALLEY.  ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER HIGHER 
ELEVATIONS.  DRYER AND WARMER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY MID WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-122115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
301 PM EST MON JAN 11 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (+13)  25-30 (-6)   15-20        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   63-68 (+26)  88-93        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  8        NW  6        SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      NW 10        
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 27. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 25. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-122115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EST MON JAN 11 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (+9)   24-29 (-6)   14-19        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   63-68 (+26)  89-94        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     NW  9 G17    NW  8 G18    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     NW 10        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 22. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 28. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-122115-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
301 PM EST MON JAN 11 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (+9)   24-29 (-6)   15-20        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+9)   61-66 (+25)  86-91        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     N  7         N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      NW  6        
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 23. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 25. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-122115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EST MON JAN 11 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (+11)  27-32 (-7)   16-21        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+6)   58-63 (+22)  89-94        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         N  9         N  7 G16     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      N  6         
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 24. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 26. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-122115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EST MON JAN 11 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (+11)  26-31 (-8)   15-20        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+8)   60-65 (+25)  87-92        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         N  9 G16     N  7 G16     N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      N  7         
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          3                         6            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 27. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-122115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
301 PM EST MON JAN 11 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (+11)  26-31 (-6)   17-22        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+2)   64-69 (+26)  87-92        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     NW  6        
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 23. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 25. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT
WINDS. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-122115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
301 PM EST MON JAN 11 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (+11)  27-32 (-5)   16-21        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+3)   61-66 (+22)  88-93        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        N  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      NW  5        
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 24. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-122115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
301 PM EST MON JAN 11 2010 /201 PM CST MON JAN 11 2010/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (+10)  29-34 (-5)   18-23        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+3)   56-61 (+19)  90-95        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         N  8         N  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM                                               
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      N  6         
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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