
936 
FNUS54 KMRX 071947
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
245 PM EST THU JAN 7 2010

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING ANOTHER SURGE OF COLD ARCTIC AIR FOR THE 
WEEKEND. A WARMING TREND WILL THEN DEVELOP BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH 
TEMPERATURES RETURNING CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-082045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
245 PM EST THU JAN 7 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      10-15 (+4)   19-24 (-8)   9-14         20-25        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   52-57 (-8)   88-93        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G19                  NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     W  9 G17     NW  8 G15    NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.08         0.07         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     N 14         
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 8 TO 
14. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 6 TO 11. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-082045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST THU JAN 7 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      10-15 (+1)   18-23 (-9)   9-14         19-24        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  51-56 (+6)   81-86        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G24                 NW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G21     NW 11 G21    NW  9 G20    NW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       4            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.09         0.06         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     N 14         
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 8 TO 
14. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 7 TO 12. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-082045-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
245 PM EST THU JAN 7 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      9-14 (-8)    17-22 (-9)   8-13         19-24        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 51-56 (+21)  81-86        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G23     NW  8 G16    N  6         N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.08         0.04         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     N 13         
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 6 TO 
14. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTH 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 2 TO 13. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 
LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO 
MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S 
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-082045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST THU JAN 7 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      11-16 (-6)   20-25 (-8)   10-15        22-27        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 50-55 (+2)   81-86        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 N  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     NW  9        N  8 G15     N  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.06         0.04         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     N 17         
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 8 TO 
15. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 6 TO 14. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-082045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST THU JAN 7 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      9-14 (-6)    19-24 (-9)   8-13         21-26        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  52-57 (+3)   85-90        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G19                 N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     NW 11 G19    N  9 G16     N  9         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.06         0.04         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     N 16         
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 14. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 7 TO 14. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-082045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
245 PM EST THU JAN 7 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      12-17 (+2)   21-26 (-9)   11-16        22-27        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  50-55 (0)    82-87        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G20     W  9 G16     NW  7        NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.07         0.05         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     N 12         
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 
12. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 4 TO 13. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-082045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
245 PM EST THU JAN 7 2010

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      11-16 (-4)   21-26 (-9)   10-15        22-27        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+4)   49-54 (-7)   84-89        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G16                 N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     NW  7        NW  6        N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.06         0.04         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     N 13         
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 9 TO 
16. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 7 TO 13. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-082045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
245 PM EST THU JAN 7 2010 /145 PM CST THU JAN 7 2010/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (-4)   22-27 (-9)   12-17        24-29        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+1)   50-55 (-8)   80-85        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G21     NW  9        NW  8 G15    N  9         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         0.03         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     N 17         
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 9 TO 15. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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