
132 
FNUS54 KMRX 062013
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
315 PM EST WED JAN 6 2010

...ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL EXPECTED THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH 
FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION 
TONIGHT...AND WILL BRING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER 
VALLEY ON THURSDAY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF 
THIS COLD FRONT...AND WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION ON 
THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER COLD ARCTIC AIR MASS 
WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION BY THE WEEKEND...WITH A WARMING TEND 
EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-072100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
315 PM EST WED JAN 6 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (+3)   28-33 (+4)   12-17        20-25        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-6)   58-63 (+9)   95-100       51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 12 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  9 G19    W 12 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           80           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.15         0.08         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     NW 21        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 10 TO 16. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 11 TO 24. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 
COLDER. LOWS 8 TO 12. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-072100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EST WED JAN 6 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (+3)   28-33 (+5)   11-16        20-25        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-9)   53-58 (+4)   95-100       50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 14 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      W  8 G20     NW 14 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           80           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.08         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      NW 23        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 10 TO 16. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 18 TO 25. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. 
LOWS 7 TO 13. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO 
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-072100-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
315 PM EST WED JAN 6 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (+6)   28-33 (+3)   12-17        20-25        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-12)  48-53 (+1)   91-96        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G19    W 11 G22     NW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           60           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.14         0.06         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     NW 18        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 9 TO 17. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 14 TO 26.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 
COLDER. LOWS 2 BELOW TO 15 ABOVE ZERO. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE TEENS. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO 
UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 
MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS 
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-072100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EST WED JAN 6 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (+6)   31-36 (+2)   13-18        23-28        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-6)   45-50 (+5)   87-92        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 11 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    W  9 G19     NW 11 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.03         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     NW 17        
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 11 TO 17. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 10 TO 16. NORTH WINDS 
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-072100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EST WED JAN 6 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (+6)   30-35 (+1)   13-18        22-27        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-6)   49-54 (+11)  86-91        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 13 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    W  9 G20     NW 12 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           60           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.12         0.04         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     NW 22        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               32 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 12 TO 17. 
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 10 TO 16. NORTH WINDS 5 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE TEENS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-072100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
315 PM EST WED JAN 6 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (+1)   31-36 (+4)   13-18        23-28        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-6)   49-54 (+6)   95-100       47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 11 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G21     W 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           80           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.14         0.06         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     W 18         
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE TEENS. 
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 20 
TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
8 TO 14. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-072100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
315 PM EST WED JAN 6 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (+6)   32-37 (+4)   14-19        24-29        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+6)   45-50 (0)    91-96        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 11 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    W 10 G20     W 11 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           60           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.16         0.04         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     NW 17        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 
15. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 16. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-072100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
315 PM EST WED JAN 6 2010 /215 PM CST WED JAN 6 2010/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (+9)   34-39 (+4)   15-20        26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+2)   44-49 (+4)   84-89        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    W 10 G21     NW 11 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.14         0.03         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     NW 17        
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 
17. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 16. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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