
949 
FNUS54 KMRX 052016
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
316 PM EST TUE JAN 5 2010

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA 
EARLY TONIGHT...PRODUCING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES.  COLD 
ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FLOW INTO THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEK. 
A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD A LIGHT SNOWFALL 
ACROSS MOST OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY 
THURSDAY.  
 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-062130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
316 PM EST TUE JAN 5 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      11-16 (+1)   25-30 (+6)   13-18        27-32        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (0)    45-50 (-20)  80-85        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G17                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G16     NW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     SW 18        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 7 TO 22. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 11 TO 25. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 3 TO 18. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
12 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-062130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EST TUE JAN 5 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      10-15 (0)    24-29 (+5)   12-17        25-30        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+5)   42-47 (-21)  79-84        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G20                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G24    NW  8 G20    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.00         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1500                      1100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     W 17         
DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 4 TO 21. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 9 TO 27.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 2 TO 16. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 12 TO
27. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS
TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-062130-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
316 PM EST TUE JAN 5 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      7-12 (-2)    26-31 (+7)   12-17        24-29        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+4)   30-35 (-30)  75-80        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1300                      900          
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     SW 18        
DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 2 BELOW TO 23 ABOVE ZERO.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 7 TO 28.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 3 BELOW TO 17 ABOVE ZERO. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 9 TO 27.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS
TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-062130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EST TUE JAN 5 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      11-16 (0)    30-35 (+4)   13-18        28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+5)   26-31 (-16)  75-80        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1800                      1400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     SW 17        
DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 5 TO 23.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 3 TO 17. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-062130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EST TUE JAN 5 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      10-15 (-1)   32-37 (+6)   11-16        29-34        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+3)   24-29 (-21)  76-81        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1400                      1000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     SW 20        
DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          5                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 7 TO 22.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 5 TO 16. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-062130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
316 PM EST TUE JAN 5 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (+1)   28-33 (+6)   14-19        28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   36-41 (-19)  84-89        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            70           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     SW 14        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 10 TO 23. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 14 TO 28.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 7 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
15 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-062130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
316 PM EST TUE JAN 5 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      12-17 (0)    29-34 (+5)   16-21        28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   30-35 (-14)  74-79        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            70           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     SW 16        
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 11 TO 24. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 8 TO 17. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-062130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
316 PM EST TUE JAN 5 2010 /216 PM CST TUE JAN 5 2010/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      12-17 (-1)   32-37 (+5)   17-22        30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+6)   25-30 (-7)   79-84        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            70           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      1800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     SW 18        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 15 TO 24.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 17. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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