
230 
FNUS54 KMRX 050811
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
311 AM EST TUE JAN 5 2010

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA EARLY
TODAY...PRODUCING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES. COLD ARCTIC
AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FLOW INTO THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEK. A LARGE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD A LIGHT SNOWFALL ACROSS
MOST OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY
THURSDAY.
 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-060915-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
311 AM EST TUE JAN 5 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (0)    11-16 (+1)   25-30        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-8)   87-92 (+2)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G18                  W  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G18    W 10 G17     NW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     NW 20        
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 19. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 8 TO 19. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 12 TO 24.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 12. HIGHS 14 TO 26. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-060915-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
311 AM EST TUE JAN 5 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (0)    10-15 (0)    24-29        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-1)   92-97 (+12)  40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 12 G23                 W  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G24    NW 13 G24    W  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      1500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 28                     NW 23        
DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 18. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 9 TO 19. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 11 TO 26.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 10. HIGHS 14 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-060915-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
311 AM EST TUE JAN 5 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (+1)   7-12 (-2)    27-32        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-16)  91-96 (+7)   29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G15                 NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           10           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      1300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     NW 16        
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 4 TO 18. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 6 TO 20. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 10 TO 27.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 10. HIGHS 12 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS
TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-060915-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
311 AM EST TUE JAN 5 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+2)   11-16 (0)    32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-11)  79-84 (+4)   25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  7        NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      1800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     NW 16        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 18. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
11 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-060915-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
311 AM EST TUE JAN 5 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+2)   10-15 (-1)   34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-11)  83-88 (+6)   24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G15                 NW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G17    NW  9 G16    NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      1400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 25                     NW 23        
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI             4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 17. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
12 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-060915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
311 AM EST TUE JAN 5 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+1)   13-18 (+1)   28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-5)   82-87 (+3)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G18                  W  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G18     W  9 G16     W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     NW 15        
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 18. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 12 TO 20. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 15 TO 27.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 13. HIGHS 17 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-060915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
311 AM EST TUE JAN 5 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+2)   12-17 (0)    30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-13)  77-82 (+2)   28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         NW  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW 13        
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 20. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 13 TO 20. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
19 TO 29. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-060915-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
311 AM EST TUE JAN 5 2010 /211 AM CST TUE JAN 5 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+2)   12-17 (-1)   32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-10)  72-77 (+5)   21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     NW 15        
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 23. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 18. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

