
211 
FNUS54 KMRX 042023
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
323 PM EST MON JAN 4 2010

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA 
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.  COLD ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FLOW INTO THE 
REGION THROUGH THE WEEK.  
 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-052130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
323 PM EST MON JAN 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      9-14 (+1)    19-24 (0)    10-15        25-30        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+5)   55-60 (-9)   83-88        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G18                  W  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9         NW 11 G18    W 10 G17     W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     NW 21        
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 18. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 8 TO 19. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 12 TO 24.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
12. HIGHS 16 TO 27. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-052130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
323 PM EST MON JAN 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      9-14 (+2)    19-24 (0)    9-14         24-29        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (0)    51-56 (-5)   86-91        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G23                 W  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G23    NW 13 G24    NW 13 G24    W  8 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      1400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 28                     NW 24        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 9 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 11 TO 26.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 11. HIGHS 14 TO 28. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-052130-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
323 PM EST MON JAN 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      8-13 (+4)    19-24 (+1)   7-12         27-32        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+3)   36-41 (-19)  90-95        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  8 G16    NW  8 G16    NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           10           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      1200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NW 17        
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 20. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 6 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 10 TO 27.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 11. HIGHS 11 TO 28. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS
TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-052130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
323 PM EST MON JAN 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      10-15 (+1)   25-30 (+1)   9-14         32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+2)   29-34 (-12)  79-84        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  7        NW  7        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      1700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     NW 17        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 19. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S
TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 11 TO 20.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS AROUND 15.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-052130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
323 PM EST MON JAN 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      9-14 (+1)    24-29 (0)    8-13         34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-1)   28-33 (-12)  85-90        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G15                 N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G16    NW 10 G17    NW  9 G16    NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      1300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     NW 25        
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   0 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         6            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 18. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 12 TO 20.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-052130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
323 PM EST MON JAN 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      11-16 (+2)   22-27 (+1)   12-17        28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+2)   45-50 (-9)   78-83        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G18                  W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G16     W 11 G18     W  9 G16     W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NW 16        
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 20. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 12 TO 20. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS 15 TO 27. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS AROUND 14.
HIGHS 18 TO 28. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-052130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
323 PM EST MON JAN 4 2010

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      11-16 (+1)   24-29 (+2)   11-16        30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+6)   33-38 (-16)  74-79        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        W  8         NW  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     NW 14        
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 21. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 13 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS 19 TO 29.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS AROUND 14.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-052130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
323 PM EST MON JAN 4 2010 /223 PM CST MON JAN 4 2010/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      12-17 (0)    26-31 (+1)   11-16        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-2)   29-34 (-10)  70-75        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    NW  8 G15    NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NW 16        
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 18.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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