
581 
FNUS54 KMRX 292035
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
335 PM EST TUE DEC 29 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BRINGING MOSTLY RAIN INTO THURSDAY. A 
COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT... 
BRINGING COLDER AIR AND A CHANGEOVER TO SNOW. SOME SNOWFALL 
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST TENNESSEE...AND THE MOUNTAINS. AN UNSEASONABLY 
COLD AIR MASS WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND AND 
EARLY NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-302145-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
335 PM EST TUE DEC 29 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (+1)   41-46 (+7)   31-36        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-7)   34-39 (-1)   72-77        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         S  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     SW 12        
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 14 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE 20S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-302145-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
335 PM EST TUE DEC 29 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (+1)   39-44 (+5)   27-32        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-6)   36-41 (0)    77-82        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G15                  S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         S  7         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.14         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     SW  6        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 13 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-302145-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
335 PM EST TUE DEC 29 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (+3)   39-44 (+1)   28-33        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-9)   39-44 (+9)   76-81        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7                      S  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         S  8 G18     S  6 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.16         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     SW  9        
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 13 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-302145-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
335 PM EST TUE DEC 29 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (0)    42-47 (0)    32-37        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-3)   37-42 (+7)   73-78        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G17                 S  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G16     S  8 G18     S  7 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.19         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      SW 12        
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 16 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-302145-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
335 PM EST TUE DEC 29 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (+1)   43-48 (0)    31-36        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+2)   35-40 (+6)   72-77        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G16                 SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8         SE  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.18         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      SW 10        
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               2 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-302145-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
335 PM EST TUE DEC 29 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (0)    42-47 (+5)   29-34        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-3)   35-40 (0)    80-85        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.14         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      SW  7        
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 15 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-302145-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
335 PM EST TUE DEC 29 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+2)   44-49 (+5)   32-37        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-8)   36-41 (+3)   73-78        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G16                  S  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G17     S  7 G18     S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.16         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     SW 12        
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-302145-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
335 PM EST TUE DEC 29 2009 /235 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2009/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+2)   44-49 (+4)   35-40        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-4)   37-42 (+3)   70-75        61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G19                  S  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     S  9 G18     S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           80           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.21         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 21                      SW 12        
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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