
871 
FNUS54 KMRX 201951
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
251 PM EST SUN DEC 20 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT.  
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THIS DISTURBANCE...THEN  
ANOTHER STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE 
TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...BRINGING 
ANOTHER GOOD CHANCE FOR RAIN AND THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG WINDS 
AROUND THE MOUNTAINS. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-212100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
251 PM EST SUN DEC 20 2009

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-3)   36-41 (+4)   25-30        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   59-64 (-10)  95-100       49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           10           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      SW  8        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-212100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
251 PM EST SUN DEC 20 2009

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-2)   35-40 (+5)   24-29        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-4)   56-61 (-13)  94-99        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      S  3         
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO
25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...WINDY. RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 30 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-212100-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
251 PM EST SUN DEC 20 2009

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-1)   39-44 (+7)   26-31        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-5)   47-52 (-16)  88-93        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      SW  7        
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO
25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...WINDY. RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 30 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-212100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
251 PM EST SUN DEC 20 2009

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+1)   45-50 (+10)  26-31        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-15)  43-48 (-15)  91-96        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      SW  9        
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO
25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...BREEZY. RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-212100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
251 PM EST SUN DEC 20 2009

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-3)   46-51 (+11)  25-30        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-13)  41-46 (-18)  92-97        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      SW  8        
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          3                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-212100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
251 PM EST SUN DEC 20 2009

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-3)   39-44 (+6)   26-31        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   51-56 (-17)  94-99        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM                                               
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      SW  7        
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
30S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-212100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
251 PM EST SUN DEC 20 2009

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-1)   44-49 (+9)   28-33        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-13)  45-50 (-19)  88-93        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      SW 10        
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-212100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
251 PM EST SUN DEC 20 2009 /151 PM CST SUN DEC 20 2009/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-2)   48-53 (+10)  28-33        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-17)  39-44 (-19)  90-95        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      SW 12        
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TG

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