
457 
FNUS54 KMRX 192007
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
307 PM EST SAT DEC 19 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEAST 
ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WITH ITS ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL 
DISTURBANCE SHIFTING EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. AS 
A RESULT SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES WILL CONTINUE 
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA TONIGHT. PATCHY AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN OR 
SPRINKLES COULD ALSO FALL ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE INTO 
SOUTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
307 PM EST SAT DEC 19 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (0)    31-36 (+2)   22-27        35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   67-72 (-17)  85-90        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     SW  8 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        W  7         W  5         W  8         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0            10           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.03         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     W 18         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
307 PM EST SAT DEC 19 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (0)    31-36 (+2)   20-25        35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   64-69 (-18)  92-97        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G19                 W 11 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G20    W  9 G17     W  7 G17     W 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           0            10           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.04         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     W 20         
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 25. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-202115-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
307 PM EST SAT DEC 19 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-1)   33-38 (+2)   19-24        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  54-59 (-27)  88-93        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G18                 W 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G20    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     W 21         
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-202115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
307 PM EST SAT DEC 19 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+1)   39-44 (+4)   22-27        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-9)   50-55 (-25)  83-88        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 SW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  8 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           10           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     W 14         
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-202115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
307 PM EST SAT DEC 19 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (0)    40-45 (+5)   20-25        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-8)   47-52 (-29)  86-91        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G19                 W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     W 12         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   21 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
307 PM EST SAT DEC 19 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (0)    35-40 (+3)   23-28        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   61-66 (-20)  85-90        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8                      SW  9 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  7         LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     SW 15        
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 26. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS NEAR 40. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
307 PM EST SAT DEC 19 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (0)    36-41 (0)    25-30        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  57-62 (-19)  84-89        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     SW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     W  5         LGT/VAR      W  8 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     SW 14        
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-202115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
307 PM EST SAT DEC 19 2009 /207 PM CST SAT DEC 19 2009/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-1)   39-44 (+1)   25-30        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-12)  50-55 (-24)  82-87        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G15                 SW  8        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    NW  6        LGT/VAR      W  8         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     SW 14        
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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