
317 
FNUS54 KMRX 191641 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1141 AM EST SAT DEC 19 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEAST 
ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST...WITH ITS ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL 
DISTURBANCE SWINGING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. AS A 
RESULT...SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS  
MUCH OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PATCHY AREAS OF LIGHT
RAIN OR SPRINKLES COULD ALSO FALL ACROSS PARTS SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE
INTO SOUTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

ANOTHER STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE
TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-201745-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1141 AM EST SAT DEC 19 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-7)   22-27 (-2)   31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+18)  95-100 (0)   64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         NW  6        NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           30           
PRECIP DURATION       6            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.09         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     NW 21        
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 26. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 27. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-201745-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1141 AM EST SAT DEC 19 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-5)   21-26 (-2)   30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+15)  95-100 (0)   63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      NW 11 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     NW 10 G19    NW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           40           
PRECIP DURATION       6            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.08         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      NW 22        
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 26. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 29. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS
NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-201745-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1141 AM EST SAT DEC 19 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-2)   24-29 (-3)   33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+24)  95-100 (-3)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      NW  9 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     NW  9 G19    NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.07         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW 17        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 27. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER
30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-201745-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1141 AM EST SAT DEC 19 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (0)    26-31 (-3)   39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+6)   89-94 (-8)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     NW  9 G17    NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW 17        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 27. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-201745-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1141 AM EST SAT DEC 19 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (0)    25-30 (-5)   40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+5)   91-96 (-6)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     NW 10 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G17    NW 11 G18    NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     NW 22        
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               39 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             5                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 25. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-201745-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1141 AM EST SAT DEC 19 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-4)   24-29 (-2)   34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+12)  95-100 (0)   57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      W  8         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  6         W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.09         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      NW 18        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 28. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS
NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-201745-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1141 AM EST SAT DEC 19 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+1)   27-32 (-2)   37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+4)   95-100 (-2)  52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      NW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  7         W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           10           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.09         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     NW 16        
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-201745-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1141 AM EST SAT DEC 19 2009 /1041 AM CST SAT DEC 19 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+2)   28-33 (-4)   40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (0)    88-93 (-9)   50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     NW  8 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     W  9 G18     NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW 17        
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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