
195 
FNUS54 KMRX 182004
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
304 PM EST FRI DEC 18 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST 
TONIGHT BRINGING WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION. LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW 
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTHEAST FROM THE MIDWEST STATES.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-192115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
304 PM EST FRI DEC 18 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-3)   30-35 (-4)   24-29        30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+29) 86-91 (+25)  95-100       67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6 G15     W  6         NW  7        NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.60         0.11         0.06         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     NW 15        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 18 TO 25. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 25. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-192115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
304 PM EST FRI DEC 18 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-3)   29-34 (-3)   23-28        30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+27) 86-91 (+26)  95-100       66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  7 G18     W  9 G19     NW 10 G20    NW  9 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           70           40           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.59         0.09         0.06         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      NW 18        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 16 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 25. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-192115-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
304 PM EST FRI DEC 18 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-4)   30-35 (-2)   23-28        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+19) 82-87 (+31)  95-100       60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G17     NW  8 G17    NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       6            3            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.06         0.07         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     NW 15        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 13 TO 27. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 27. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-192115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
304 PM EST FRI DEC 18 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-2)   36-41 (+2)   27-32        36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 76-81 (+11)  95-100       57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  8        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7 G15    NW  8 G15    NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.03         0.05         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     N 15         
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 27. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-192115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
304 PM EST FRI DEC 18 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-3)   35-40 (+1)   26-31        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 79-84 (+10)  94-99        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     NW 10 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G16    NW  9        NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.03         0.04         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     NW 17        
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   29 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 26. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-192115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
304 PM EST FRI DEC 18 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-3)   31-36 (-3)   26-31        33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+28) 87-92 (+24)  95-100       63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         W  6         W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.09         0.06         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      NW 14        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 19 TO 27. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 27. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-192115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
304 PM EST FRI DEC 18 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-2)   33-38 (-2)   28-33        35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+19) 80-85 (+12)  93-98        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  8        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         W  6         NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       6            1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.07         0.07         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     NW 13        
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER
40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-192115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
304 PM EST FRI DEC 18 2009 /204 PM CST FRI DEC 18 2009/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-2)   37-42 (+1)   29-34        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 69-74 (-2)   87-92        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      NW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NW  8 G15    NW  9 G18    NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.04         0.05         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     NW 15        
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

