
823 
FNUS54 KMRX 181019
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EST FRI DEC 18 2009

...ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION BY 
TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST 
TONIGHT...BRINGING WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER STRONG LOW PRESSURE 
SYSTEM WILL THEN BEGIN TO AFFECT THE REGION BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT 
WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-191000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EST FRI DEC 18 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-8)   27-32 (-2)   30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+26)  95-100 (+30) 78-83        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         E  7 G16     W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.64         0.58         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1600                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     NW  9        
DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
18 TO 25. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-191000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST FRI DEC 18 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-9)   25-30 (-4)   30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+20)  95-100 (+24) 75-80        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6 G19     E  8 G21     W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          70           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.03         0.62         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1800                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     W 14         
DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 
COLDER. LOWS 16 TO 26. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-191000-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EST FRI DEC 18 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-9)   25-30 (-4)   32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+7)   95-100 (+14) 69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           60           
PRECIP DURATION       6            6            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.32         0.31         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1700                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  8                      NW 15        
DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO 
MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 
COLDER. LOWS 13 TO 27. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-191000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST FRI DEC 18 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-11)  28-33 (-3)   35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+17)  95-100 (+10) 68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           
PRECIP DURATION       7            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.35         0.17         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1600                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 10                      NW 15        
DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 27. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-191000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST FRI DEC 18 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-11)  27-32 (-4)   34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+24)  95-100 (+17) 69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  6                     NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           
PRECIP DURATION       7            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.59         0.19         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1700                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 13                      NW 18        
DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               21 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             6                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 
MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 27. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-191000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EST FRI DEC 18 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-8)   28-33 (-3)   32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+23)  95-100 (+22) 76-81        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        NE  5        W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           70           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.92         0.49         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1600                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  9                      W 12         
DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-191000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EST FRI DEC 18 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-8)   29-34 (-2)   34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+27)  95-100 (+11) 72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           
PRECIP DURATION       5            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.85         0.23         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1600                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  9                      NW 14        
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-191000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EST FRI DEC 18 2009 /500 AM CST FRI DEC 18 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-7)   30-35 (-3)   37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+27)  95-100 (+9)  68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           40           
PRECIP DURATION       7            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.93         0.09         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1500                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  9                      NW 14        
DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
HIGHS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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