
755 
FNUS54 KMRX 081943
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
243 PM EST TUE DEC 8 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL
SPREAD RAIN INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS
...ALONG WITH VERY STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. A
COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY...WITH DRIER AND
MUCH COLDER AIR FOLLOWING. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK
INTO THE REGION FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-092045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
243 PM EST TUE DEC 8 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+7)   50-55 (+6)   21-26        30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+5)   41-46 (-23)  74-79        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 21 G45                 W 14 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 12 G25    W 25 G47     W 15 G31     W 13 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      FLURRIES     NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM                      
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM        7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.91         0.01         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 53                     W 31         
DISPERSION                         153 VERY GOOD             41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 6 TO 17. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. NOT AS
COLD. LOWS IN THE 20S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-092045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
243 PM EST TUE DEC 8 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+10)  51-56 (+8)   21-26        31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 47-52 (-17)  79-84        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 20 G46                 W 14 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 24 G47    W 24 G48     W 14 G30     W 13 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      FLURRIES     NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM                      
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM        7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.97         0.01         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 51                      W 31         
DISPERSION                         110 VERY GOOD             27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO 16. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. NOT AS
COLD. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-092045-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
243 PM EST TUE DEC 8 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+10)  49-54 (+5)   20-25        33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 54-59 (-14)  77-82        21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 23 G47                 W 13 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 25 G57     W 23 G47     W 14 G31     NW 11 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.97         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 48                     W 28         
DISPERSION                         91 GOOD                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 3 TO 19. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN
THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-092045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
243 PM EST TUE DEC 8 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+8)   53-58 (+8)   24-29        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+17) 44-49 (-27)  70-75        17-22        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 19 G37                 NW 10 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 21 G45    W 18 G36     W 10 G22     NW  9 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.97         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 43                     NW 21        
DISPERSION                         113 VERY GOOD             18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 21. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-092045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
243 PM EST TUE DEC 8 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+8)   53-58 (+7)   24-29        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+17) 46-51 (-25)  69-74        17-22        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 18 G36                 NW 11 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 18 G35    W 18 G36     W 10 G20     NW 10 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 43                     NW 24        
DISPERSION                         106 VERY GOOD             18 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 19. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. NOT AS
COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-092045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
243 PM EST TUE DEC 8 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+7)   53-58 (+10)  21-26        34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 44-49 (-27)  78-83        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 18 G39                 W 12 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 11 G28     W 22 G41     W 13 G26     W 11 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.94         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 51                     W 26         
DISPERSION                         170 VERY GOOD             52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 7 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
20S TO LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-092045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
243 PM EST TUE DEC 8 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+8)   52-57 (+8)   22-27        34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 42-47 (-31)  69-74        25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 18 G35                 W 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G26    W 19 G37     W 12 G24     W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         FLURRIES     NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.89         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 47                     W 22         
DISPERSION                         164 VERY GOOD             43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 21. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS NEAR
40. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-092045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
243 PM EST TUE DEC 8 2009 /143 PM CST TUE DEC 8 2009/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+7)   54-59 (+8)   25-30        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 39-44 (-34)  62-67        20-25        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 18 G32                 NW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G32     W 16 G30     W 10 G20     NW  8 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.89         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 43                     NW 20        
DISPERSION                         147 VERY GOOD             33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 26. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TG

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