
615 
FNUS54 KMRX 041944
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
245 PM EST FRI DEC 4 2009

...ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL EXPECTED ON SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST ON 
SATURDAY...WITH SOME OF ITS MOISTURE SPREADING WESTWARD OVER THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. WITH A COLD AIR MASS IN PLACE...ACCUMULATING 
SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA...ESPECIALLY ACROSS 
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. ANOTHER STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN 
MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY BY TUESDAY NIGHT...BRINGING 
ANOTHER GOOD CHANCE FOR RAIN AND HIGH WINDS AROUND THE MOUNTAINS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-052045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
245 PM EST FRI DEC 4 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-4)   32-37 (-7)   18-23        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-1)   60-65 (+1)   83-88        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            4                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.18         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      SW  8        
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...ONE TO THREE INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-052045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST FRI DEC 4 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-2)   31-36 (-7)   18-23        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (0)    67-72 (0)    87-92        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G19    NW  5 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.30         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     SW  7        
DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...ONE TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 
TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 
50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-052045-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
245 PM EST FRI DEC 4 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+1)   32-37 (-6)   17-22        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+3)   61-66 (-5)   80-85        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  8 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.12         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      SW  6        
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...ONE TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO MID 30S. EAST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. 
WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-052045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST FRI DEC 4 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (0)    34-39 (-7)   20-25        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+1)   55-60 (-12)  78-83        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G18                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  9 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.09         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      S  6         
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...ONE TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-052045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST FRI DEC 4 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-1)   35-40 (-7)   19-24        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+2)   58-63 (-7)   78-83        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G17                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N 10 G20     N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.10         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      SW  7        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   1 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          6                         6            

REMARKS...ONE TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 50. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-052045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
245 PM EST FRI DEC 4 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-5)   34-39 (-7)   19-24        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (0)    59-64 (-1)   83-88        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            4                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.16         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      SW  6        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...ONE TO THREE INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE 
AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-052045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
245 PM EST FRI DEC 4 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-2)   34-39 (-7)   20-25        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (0)    57-62 (-1)   80-85        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.09         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      S  6         
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...ONE TO TWO INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-052045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
245 PM EST FRI DEC 4 2009 /145 PM CST FRI DEC 4 2009/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-1)   35-40 (-6)   21-26        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-2)   52-57 (-6)   78-83        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G17                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G15     N  7 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.06         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      S  6         
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...ONE TO TWO INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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