
501 
FNUS54 KMRX 021515 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1015 AM EST WED DEC 2 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK JUST TO OUR WEST TODAY 
BEFORE RAPIDLY DEPARTING TO THE NORTHEAST TONIGHT. STRONG SOUTHERLY
WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...MAINLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-031615-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1015 AM EST WED DEC 2 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   36-41 (+4)   41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+13)  95-100 (+32) 65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 16 G34                 SW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 17 G34    S  9 G21     W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.52         0.12         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1100                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 45                     W 22         
DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS
THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-031615-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1015 AM EST WED DEC 2 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+4)   34-39 (+1)   40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+28)  95-100 (+20) 67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 28 G55                 W 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 26 G56    S 13 G31     W  7 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.75         0.12         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1100                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 44                      W 24         
DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-031615-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1015 AM EST WED DEC 2 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   34-39 (-3)   39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+21)  95-100 (+18) 69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 27 G54                 W  8 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 25 G52     SW 16 G38    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.58         0.09         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1100                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 45                      W 16         
DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-031615-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1015 AM EST WED DEC 2 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (0)    35-40 (-2)   44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+29)  95-100 (+20) 66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 21 G46                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 18 G38    SW 12 G27    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.54         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1100                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 47                      NW 15        
DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-031615-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1015 AM EST WED DEC 2 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+1)   35-40 (-2)   45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+33)  95-100 (+24) 68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 19 G36                 W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 16 G31    SW  8 G21    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.68         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1100                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 48                      NW 18        
DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               19 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             10                        4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-031615-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1015 AM EST WED DEC 2 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+1)   37-42 (+4)   43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+29)  95-100 (+22) 66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E 11 G27                  W  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 12 G28    SW  9 G20    W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.55         0.10         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1100                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 40                     W 21         
DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-031615-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1015 AM EST WED DEC 2 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-1)   37-42 (0)    44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+25)  95-100 (+17) 62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E 11 G26                  W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G24    SW 10 G21    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1100                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 38                      W 16         
DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-031615-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1015 AM EST WED DEC 2 2009 /915 AM CST WED DEC 2 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-1)   37-42 (-1)   45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+35)  95-100 (+12) 62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 11 G28                 W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G22    SW 11 G21    NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1100                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 43                      NW 15        
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

