
650 
FNUS54 KMRX 012025
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
325 PM EST TUE DEC 1 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST 
TONIGHT...AND WILL TRACK BY JUST TO OUR WEST ON WEDNESDAY. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-022130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
325 PM EST TUE DEC 1 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+5)   49-54 (-2)   36-41        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-20)  52-57 (+13)  95-100       62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 11 G30                 SW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 15 G32    S  9 G21     W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          80           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.63         0.14         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1100                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 46                      W 26         
DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS
THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-022130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
325 PM EST TUE DEC 1 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+7)   47-52 (-2)   34-39        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-18)  60-65 (+28)  95-100       63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 28 G55                 W 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 12 G25    SE 26 G56    S 13 G31     W  7 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          80           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.74         0.15         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1100                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 49                      W 26         
DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-022130-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
325 PM EST TUE DEC 1 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+9)   47-52 (-3)   33-38        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-8)   52-57 (+21)  95-100       64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 27 G54                 W  8 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G25    S 25 G52     SW 16 G38    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.73         0.11         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1100                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 52                      W 20         
DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-022130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
325 PM EST TUE DEC 1 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+8)   51-56 (-3)   34-39        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-14)  59-64 (+29)  95-100       62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 20 G45                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G24    SE 18 G38    SW 12 G27    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.69         0.08         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1100                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 49                      W 17         
DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-022130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
325 PM EST TUE DEC 1 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+9)   52-57 (-3)   34-39        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-20)  58-63 (+32)  95-100       63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 15 G30                 W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G18    SE 14 G28    SW  8 G21    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.76         0.09         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1100                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 52                      NW 23        
DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               13 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          8                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-022130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
325 PM EST TUE DEC 1 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+6)   50-55 (-3)   37-42        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-13)  66-71 (+28)  95-100       61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E 11 G27                  W  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 12 G28    SW  9 G20    W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          80           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.67         0.12         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1100                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 44                      W 23         
DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-022130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
325 PM EST TUE DEC 1 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+8)   49-54 (-3)   36-41        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-5)   67-72 (+25)  95-100       61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  9 G21                  W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 10 G24    SW 10 G21    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.68         0.08         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1100                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 44                      W 20         
DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-022130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
325 PM EST TUE DEC 1 2009 /225 PM CST TUE DEC 1 2009/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+8)   50-55 (-3)   36-41        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (0)    71-76 (+35)  95-100       59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 10 G22                 W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6 G17    SE 10 G22    SW 11 G21    NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.63         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1100                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 43                      W 18         
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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