
487 
FNUS54 KMRX 291954
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
254 PM EST SUN NOV 29 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS EARLY MONDAY...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD RAIN. A 
STRONGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION 
ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.  THE PRECIPITATION MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE 
TO SNOW ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-302100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
254 PM EST SUN NOV 29 2009

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+7)   44-49 (-15)  27-32        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+14)  62-67 (+27)  88-93        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G15                  SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G16    NW 10 G17    W  8 G15     SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            5                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.21         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      W 25         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-302100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
254 PM EST SUN NOV 29 2009

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+8)   45-50 (-11)  26-31        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+16)  64-69 (+27)  92-97        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G17                  W  5 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        NW 10 G19    NW 10 G22    SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            5                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.27         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      NW 29        
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN WITH SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-302100-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
254 PM EST SUN NOV 29 2009

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+8)   43-48 (-9)   27-32        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+17)  67-72 (+28)  90-95        24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G18                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5 G17    NW  9 G17    NW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            5                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.35         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      NW 17        
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN...COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER
30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-302100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
254 PM EST SUN NOV 29 2009

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+9)   49-54 (-9)   27-32        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+16) 63-68 (+28)  88-93        22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    N  6 G16     E  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            5                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.33         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW 13        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN...COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-302100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
254 PM EST SUN NOV 29 2009

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+10)  50-55 (-9)   27-32        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+14)  59-64 (+26)  86-91        19-24        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G18    N  8 G18     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            5                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.35         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      NW 18        
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               2 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          5                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-302100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
254 PM EST SUN NOV 29 2009

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+10)  48-53 (-11)  28-33        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+12)  61-66 (+23)  89-94        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    W  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            5                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.28         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 20         
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-302100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
254 PM EST SUN NOV 29 2009

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+8)   47-52 (-12)  29-34        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+11)  67-72 (+27)  90-95        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            5                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.21         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 15         
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-302100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
254 PM EST SUN NOV 29 2009 /154 PM CST SUN NOV 29 2009/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+8)   48-53 (-13)  29-34        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+10)  67-72 (+29)  89-94        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G15                 NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    N  5         E  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            5                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.21         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      NW 12        
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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