
596 
FNUS54 KMRX 211956
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
256 PM EST SAT NOV 21 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GULF COAST REGION
TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THROUGH SUNDAY. THE CHANCE FOR 
RAIN WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY REGION DURING THIS
TIME PERIOD...AS THE SYSTEM SHIFTS NORTHEAST BY MONDAY. A WEAK AREA
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
STATES BY MONDAY...WITH DRIER WEATHER EXPECTED. ANOTHER WEAK STORM 
SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY REGION BY TUESDAY NIGHT...
BRINGING WITH IT ANOTHER SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN TO THE AREA.
  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-221100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
256 PM EST SAT NOV 21 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+2)   49-54 (-6)   39-44        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+10)  59-64 (+17)  95-100       68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  5         SE  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.08         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      1700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 10                     SE 10        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-221100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
256 PM EST SAT NOV 21 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+2)   46-51 (-7)   38-43        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 64-69 (+20)  95-100       76-81        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        SE  8 G17    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           60           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.12         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 12                     SE 10        
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-221100-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
256 PM EST SAT NOV 21 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+5)   49-54 (-3)   39-44        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+18) 64-69 (+22)  95-100       75-80        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.16         0.08         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  7                     SE  5        
DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-221100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
256 PM EST SAT NOV 21 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+7)   51-56 (-6)   40-45        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 69-74 (+31)  95-100       72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6 G17                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.27         0.08         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 13                      E  3         
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-221100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
256 PM EST SAT NOV 21 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+8)   51-56 (-7)   40-45        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 70-75 (+35)  95-100       71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7 G17                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G18    SE  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.32         0.10         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 12                     E  6         
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          8                         8            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 40. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-221100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
256 PM EST SAT NOV 21 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+2)   51-56 (-5)   39-44        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 59-64 (+17)  95-100       71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  6         SE  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.08         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 10                     E  8         
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-221100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
256 PM EST SAT NOV 21 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+2)   51-56 (-6)   40-45        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+5)   63-68 (+21)  94-99        64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.12         0.05         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      1900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  7                     E  5         
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-221100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
256 PM EST SAT NOV 21 2009 /156 PM CST SAT NOV 21 2009/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+3)   51-56 (-7)   42-47        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+1)   64-69 (+24)  95-100       66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.28         0.06         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      1900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 14                     E  6         
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TROUTMAN

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