
417 
FNUS54 KMRX 210856
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
356 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND CENTRAL 
APPALACHIANS...WILL GIVE WAY TO A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONG 
WESTERN PARTS OF THE GULF COAST REGION. THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE 
WILL TRACK SLOWLY NORTHEAST...TOWARD THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. THE CHANCE FOR 
RAIN WILL INCREASE DURING THIS PERIOD...AS THE SYSTEM SHIFTS EAST.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-221000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
356 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (0)    36-41 (+2)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-3)   92-97 (+10)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  5                     SE 10        
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-221000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
356 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    34-39 (+2)   46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-5)   95-100 (+14) 64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  3                     SE 12        
DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-221000-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
356 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   37-42 (+5)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-3)   95-100 (+18) 64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.23         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  5                     SE  7        
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-221000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
356 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-2)   38-43 (+7)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (0)    95-100 (+14) 69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.28         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  3                     E 13         
DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-221000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
356 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-3)   38-43 (+8)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-1)   95-100 (+15) 70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.32         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      SE 12        
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI             7                         8            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-221000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
356 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-1)   34-39 (+2)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-3)   95-100 (+10) 59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     SE 10        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-221000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
356 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-1)   37-42 (+2)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-2)   92-97 (+5)   63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.16         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  8                     SE  7        
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-221000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
356 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009 /256 AM CST SAT NOV 21 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-2)   39-44 (+3)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-1)   91-96 (+1)   64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.29         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  8                     SE 14        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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