
257 
FNUS54 KMRX 180915
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
415 AM EST WED NOV 18 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONT WILL TRACK THROUGH THE AREA...BRINGING SCATTERED 
SHOWERS TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. DRY 
WEATHER RETURNS ON FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR 
NORMAL FOR MOST OF THIS WEEK. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-191015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
415 AM EST WED NOV 18 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-8)   43-48 (+1)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+23)  95-100 (+7)  53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 13 G27                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 12 G27    S  6 G17     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.19         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 35                     SW 14        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-191015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
415 AM EST WED NOV 18 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-7)   41-46 (-1)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+23)  95-100 (+5)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 14 G28                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 12 G27    SE  8 G18    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.28         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 39                     S 13         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-191015-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
415 AM EST WED NOV 18 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-5)   38-43 (-6)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+16)  95-100 (+13) 40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G24                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G23     S  6 G16     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.08         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 31                      SW  9        
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-191015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
415 AM EST WED NOV 18 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-1)   39-44 (-5)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+6)   95-100 (+8)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      W  7         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-191015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
415 AM EST WED NOV 18 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-1)   38-43 (-6)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+4)   95-100 (+10) 37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 31                      W  9         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI             6                         7            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-191015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
415 AM EST WED NOV 18 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-8)   41-46 (-3)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+21)  95-100 (+9)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G20                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G20    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.15         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 31                     SW  8        
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-191015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
415 AM EST WED NOV 18 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-6)   38-43 (-5)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+13)  95-100 (+6)  45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      SW  8        
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-191015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
415 AM EST WED NOV 18 2009 /315 AM CST WED NOV 18 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-2)   37-42 (-5)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-11)  95-100 (+5)  39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      W  8         
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

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