
809 
FNUS54 KMRX 170819
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH 
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE 
NORMAL FOR MOST OF THE WEEK. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-180900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-7)   41-46 (+1)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+8)   86-91 (-7)   66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G22                 SE 12 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 13 G23    SE 12 G23    SE 11 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      SE 13        
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-180900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-7)   40-45 (+1)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+13)  89-94 (-3)   75-80        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 13 G27                 SE 14 G28    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 14 G26    SE 16 G30    SE 11 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.15         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 28                     SE 13        
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-180900-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-8)   39-44 (+1)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+25)  90-95 (-4)   70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 12 G27                 S  9 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 14 G27    SE 14 G30    S  9 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.17         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      S 12         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID TO 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
TO UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-180900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-11)  40-45 (+1)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+30)  91-96 (-5)   64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G22                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 13 G23    SE  8 G21    S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.24         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      1900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 29                      S  9         
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-180900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-11)  41-46 (+4)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+33)  88-93 (-9)   61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 11 G22                 SE  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 13 G23    SE 11 G22    S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.24         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      1900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 29                      S 12         
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   1 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI             5                         7            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-180900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-4)   42-47 (+1)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+9)   88-93 (-4)   68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G20                 SE  8 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G22    SE 10 G21    SE  7 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.09         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 23                     SE 12        
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN 
THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-180900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-7)   41-46 (-2)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+15)  93-98 (+3)   69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G17                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G19    SE  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.25         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      1900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      S  9         
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-180900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2009 /500 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-8)   41-46 (-3)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+26)  93-98 (+1)   56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         W  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.23         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      1800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 26                      S  9         
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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