
668 
FNUS54 KMRX 162009
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
309 PM EST MON NOV 16 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...BRINGING SCATTERED 
SHOWERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN 
ABOVE NORMAL FOR MOST OF THE WEEK. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
309 PM EST MON NOV 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+2)   58-63 (-8)   41-46        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-1)   50-55 (+15)  92-97        66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5                      E  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  5         E  7         SE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 25                     SE 29        
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
309 PM EST MON NOV 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+1)   56-61 (-8)   40-45        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-1)   54-59 (+19)  95-100       73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7 G15                 SE  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  7 G15    E  8 G15     E  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.05         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 25                     SE 28        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID
40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-172115-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
309 PM EST MON NOV 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+4)   53-58 (-10)  41-46        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+4)   61-66 (+33)  95-100       66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G15                  SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  9 G20    SE  6 G16    SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.14         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 25                      S 29         
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-172115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
309 PM EST MON NOV 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+4)   57-62 (-9)   44-49        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  59-64 (+31)  94-99        64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.17         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 28                     S 23         
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO
MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-172115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
309 PM EST MON NOV 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+4)   57-62 (-8)   45-50        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  59-64 (+33)  95-100       62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.18         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 28                     S 26         
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   7 POOR       
MAX LVORI                          7                         6            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
309 PM EST MON NOV 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (0)    58-63 (-9)   42-47        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+4)   54-59 (+19)  92-97        64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  5         LGT/VAR      E  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 24                     SE 26        
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
309 PM EST MON NOV 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+3)   57-62 (-10)  44-49        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  60-65 (+24)  93-98        63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.17         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 22                      S 18         
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-172115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
309 PM EST MON NOV 16 2009 /209 PM CST MON NOV 16 2009/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+4)   57-62 (-12)  43-48        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  61-66 (+26)  93-98        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.17         0.16         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 28                      S 17         
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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