
251 
FNUS54 KMRX 281421 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1020 AM EDT WED OCT 28 2009

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TODAY...BRINGING DRY AND TRANQUIL WEATHER THROUGH THURSDAY. A COLD 
FRONT WILL THEN SLOWLY APPROACH THE REGION BY FRIDAY...BRINGING A 
GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS BY SATURDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-291515-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1020 AM EDT WED OCT 28 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+6)   44-49 (-6)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-5)   90-95 (-5)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      SW  5        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 
MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-291515-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1020 AM EDT WED OCT 28 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+7)   39-44 (-10)  68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-19)  95-100 (+4)  39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G19                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      1400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      SW  6        
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-291515-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1020 AM EDT WED OCT 28 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+8)   38-43 (-9)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-27)  95-100 (0)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SW  8        
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-291515-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1020 AM EDT WED OCT 28 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+8)   41-46 (-6)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-29)  95-100 (-2)  40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     SW  8        
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-291515-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1020 AM EDT WED OCT 28 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+8)   41-46 (-6)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-28)  92-97 (-5)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     SW 10        
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    2 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI             5                         7            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-291515-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1020 AM EDT WED OCT 28 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+6)   41-46 (-11)  71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-12)  95-100 (+2)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      SW  5        
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 
MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-291515-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1020 AM EDT WED OCT 28 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+9)   42-47 (-9)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-24)  95-100 (+1)  44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      SW  7        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-291515-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1020 AM EDT WED OCT 28 2009 /920 AM CDT WED OCT 28 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+12)  44-49 (-6)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-31)  95-100 (0)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      SW  9        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

