
146 
FNUS54 KMRX 230848
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
448 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY TODAY 
AND THEN INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION...PULLING A COLD FRONT THROUGH 
OUR AREA TONIGHT. SATURDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD INTO 
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS. 

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-241000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
448 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-4)   51-56 (0)    57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+28)  95-100 (+6)  54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G28                  SW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G29     S 10 G21     W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           40           
PRECIP DURATION       4            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.25         0.07         
LAL                   2            2            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 32                      SW 18        
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-241000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
448 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-4)   50-55 (0)    57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+33)  95-100 (+4)  60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 20 G37                  W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 18 G35     S 13 G26     W  8 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           40           
PRECIP DURATION       4            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.34         0.07         
LAL                   2            2            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 32                      W 10         
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-241000-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
448 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-4)   47-52 (-5)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+31)  95-100 (+3)  53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 27 G51                  W  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 22 G46     S 13 G31     W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.50         0.26         0.02         
LAL                   2            2            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 43                      W 13         
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-241000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
448 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (0)    50-55 (-8)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+18)  95-100 (+1)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 22 G40                  W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 19 G36     S  9 G25     NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.54         0.20         0.01         
LAL                   2            2            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 44                      W 12         
DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-241000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
448 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-1)   52-57 (-6)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+17)  95-100 (+1)  49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G30                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G28     S  9 G20     NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.55         0.29         0.01         
LAL                   2            2            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 39                      W 13         
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   11 POOR      
MAX LVORI             4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-241000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
448 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (0)    51-56 (0)    58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+23)  95-100 (+7)  56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G26                  W  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G26     S  9 G19     W  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.27         0.04         
LAL                   2            2            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 30                      W 18         
DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-241000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
448 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-1)   48-53 (-5)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+23)  95-100 (+4)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 15 G29                  W  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G28     SW  9 G21    W  6 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.13         0.01         
LAL                   2            2            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 41                      W 16         
DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-241000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
448 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009 /348 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-1)   50-55 (-10)  56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+20)  95-100 (+3)  53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 15 G27                  W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G24     SW  7 G16    NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.08         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 45                      W 14         
DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

